Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $37K | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$1.6K |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5.0K | 10¢ | 19¢ | +$4.3K |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $403 | 14¢ | 96¢ | +$2.4K |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 26¢ | 20¢ | -$896 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 11¢ | 18¢ | +$829 |
Deel IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $573 | 67¢ | 96¢ | +$244 |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $124 | 14¢ | 71¢ | +$503 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $439 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$7 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1.2K | 74¢ | 19¢ | -$912 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $130 | 52¢ | 95¢ | +$107 |
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Politics | No | $115 | 35¢ | 49¢ | +$47 |
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Politics | No | $76 | 30¢ | 50¢ | +$49 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $1.8K | 12¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1.7K |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $339 | 71¢ | 19¢ | -$251 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 5.9¢ | 14¢ | +$30 |
Discord IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $3 | 24¢ | 65¢ | +$6 |
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$29 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $707 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$707 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.1K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Politics | YesResolved | $135 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $446 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$446 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $852 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$852 |
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $91 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6.9K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.9K |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8.5K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.5K |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2.4K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K |
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5.8K | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.8K |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $2.7K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $420 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$420 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3.0K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K |
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Tennis | YesResolved | $15 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $545 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$545 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $23 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $463 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$463 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $94 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $612 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$612 |
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $91 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Politics | YesResolved | $330 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$330 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1.5K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?Tech | YesResolved | $520 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$520 |
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5.0K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.0K |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $276 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$276 |
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.7K | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5.1K | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.1K |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $419 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$419 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4.9K | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.9K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.0K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $91 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | NoResolved | $21K | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21K |
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano DarderiTennis | Rafael JodarResolved | $6 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5.4K | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.4K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7.1K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.1K |
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $393 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$393 |
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5.6K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.6K |
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $142 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $11K | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11K |
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Politics | YesResolved | $9.9K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9.9K |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $413 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$413 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $25K | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25K |
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $91 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | NoResolved | $970 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$970 |
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $91 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $182 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$182 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $131 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2.7K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $300 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3.8K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.8K |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | NoResolved | $4.7K | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.7K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5.1K | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.1K |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $2.8K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Politics | YesResolved | $1.0K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.0K | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $91 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $13 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3.9K | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.9K |
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?Crypto | YesResolved | $13 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?Crypto | YesResolved | $310 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$310 |
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $91 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $902 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$902 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $892 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$892 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Politics | NoResolved | $43 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Crypto | YesResolved | $5.3K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.3K |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $999 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$999 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4.6K | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.6K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $70K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $63K | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63K |
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBA | YesResolved | $155 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5.1K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.1K |
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $27 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $44 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $195 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$195 |