← Whale Watch

99problems123

Predicting since Jan 2026353 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $64K on World Cup markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $171K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$58K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$37K63¢66¢+$1.6K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$5.0K10¢19¢+$4.3K
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechYes$40314¢96¢+$2.4K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$3.5K26¢20¢-$896
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.2K11¢18¢+$829
Deel IPO before 2027?TechNo$57367¢96¢+$244
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$12414¢71¢+$503
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$43966¢68¢+$7
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1.2K74¢19¢-$912
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$13052¢95¢+$107
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$11535¢49¢+$47
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$7630¢50¢+$49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$1.8K12¢0.7¢-$1.7K
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$33971¢19¢-$251
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$225.9¢14¢+$30
Discord IPO before 2027?TechNo$324¢65¢+$6
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$380.2¢0.1¢-$29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7077.0¢0.0¢-$707
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$1.1K22¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K50¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?PoliticsYesResolved$1353.0¢0.0¢-$135
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$44641¢0.0¢-$446
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechNoResolved$85216¢0.0¢-$852
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$910.1¢0.0¢-$91
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6.9K15¢0.0¢-$6.9K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8.5K31¢0.0¢-$8.5K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$540.5¢0.0¢-$54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2.4K12¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3624¢0.0¢-$36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5.8K7.4¢0.0¢-$5.8K
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyNoResolved$2.7K22¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$42014¢0.0¢-$420
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3.0K15¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$154.1¢0.0¢-$15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$54545¢0.0¢-$545
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$232.2¢0.0¢-$23
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$46322¢0.0¢-$463
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$41.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$941.4¢0.0¢-$94
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14PoliticsNoResolved$61215¢0.0¢-$612
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$910.1¢0.0¢-$91
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?PoliticsYesResolved$33035¢0.0¢-$330
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.5K14¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?TechYesResolved$52010¢0.0¢-$520
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$5.0K30¢0.0¢-$5.0K
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$27620¢0.0¢-$276
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.7K7.2¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?TechNoResolved$5.1K24¢0.0¢-$5.1K
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$4191.3¢0.0¢-$419
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4.9K2.6¢0.0¢-$4.9K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K30¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$910.1¢0.0¢-$91
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?World CupNoResolved$21K71¢0.0¢-$21K
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano DarderiTennisRafael JodarResolved$660¢0.0¢-$6
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5.4K1.3¢0.0¢-$5.4K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7.1K4.0¢0.0¢-$7.1K
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$39317¢0.0¢-$393
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$5.6K32¢0.0¢-$5.6K
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$14217¢0.0¢-$142
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K9.8¢0.0¢-$1.2K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$11K44¢0.0¢-$11K
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?PoliticsYesResolved$9.9K14¢0.0¢-$9.9K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$41312¢0.0¢-$413
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K43¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$25K6.3¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$910.1¢0.0¢-$91
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?World CupNoResolved$9705.9¢0.0¢-$970
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$910.1¢0.0¢-$91
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$1823.6¢0.0¢-$182
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyNoResolved$1319.0¢0.0¢-$131
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechNoResolved$2.7K18¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?TechNoResolved$3002.9¢0.0¢-$300
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$3.8K18¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsNoResolved$4.7K5.9¢0.0¢-$4.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5.1K10.0¢0.0¢-$5.1K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$2.8K11¢0.0¢-$2.8K
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K10¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K7.4¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9116¢0.0¢-$91
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$1310¢0.0¢-$13
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3.9K0.5¢0.0¢-$3.9K
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?CryptoYesResolved$1319¢0.0¢-$13
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$151.9¢0.0¢-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$3103.2¢0.0¢-$310
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$910.1¢0.0¢-$91
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$90213¢0.0¢-$902
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$8929.8¢0.0¢-$892
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?PoliticsNoResolved$4315¢0.0¢-$43
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$5.3K14¢0.0¢-$5.3K
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?EconomyYesResolved$99917¢0.0¢-$999
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?PoliticsNoResolved$1.5K7.0¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4.6K41¢0.0¢-$4.6K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$70K30¢0.0¢-$70K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$63K28¢0.0¢-$63K
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$15521¢0.0¢-$155
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5.1K22¢0.0¢-$5.1K
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$275.2¢0.0¢-$27
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?TechYesResolved$4438¢0.0¢-$44
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$19530¢0.0¢-$195

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$64K
Politics-$34K
Tech-$18K
Crypto-$16K
Economy-$4.6K
Olympics-$3.7K
Culture-$3.4K
NBA+$2.7K
NFL+$1.1K
Finance+$889
Basketball (other)-$616
Mentions+$541
Biggest hit
+$58K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$58K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Sold France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.0K11d ago
  • Sold France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$64911d ago
  • Sold France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1011d ago
  • Sold France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$9011d ago
  • Sold France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$9211d ago
  • Sold France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$4111d ago
  • Bought France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$12K11d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.0K12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$22613d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$113d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1013d ago