2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4

Predicting since Feb 2025834 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $689 across 5 Politics markets.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?Tech	No	$433	97¢	98¢	+$5
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$302	95¢	98¢	+$8
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$243	86¢	89¢	+$8
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$204	89¢	90¢	+$4
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech	Yes	$193	80¢	82¢	+$4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$172	86¢	96¢	+$20
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$122	60¢	68¢	+$16
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$84	84¢	87¢	+$3
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics	No	$85	84¢	83¢	-$2
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech	Yes	$50	71¢	85¢	+$10
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics	No	$40	87¢	98¢	+$5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$45	24¢	23¢	-$4
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics	No	$39	97¢	97¢	-$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$33	12¢	9.0¢	-$7
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$17	87¢	89¢	+$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$15	9.4¢	9.7¢	+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics	Yes	$14	68¢	64¢	-$1
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance	No	$18	26¢	14¢	-$8
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics	YesResolved	$30	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$30
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics	NoResolved	$85	85¢	0.0¢	-$85
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 13?Weather	NoResolved	$30	100¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Tech	YesResolved	$119	99¢	0.0¢	-$119
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$49	87¢	0.0¢	-$49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$24	84¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$15	51¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?Weather	NoResolved	$30	100¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?Weather	NoResolved	$30	100¢	0.0¢	-$30

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather-$468

Politics+$380

Tech+$342

Crypto+$171

NBA-$154

Culture-$115

Bundesliga-$58

World Cup+$43

Finance-$43

Mentions+$29

NFL+$9

Other-$7

Biggest hit

+$536

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$528

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$391h ago
Sold No · Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$381d ago
Sold No · Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$71d ago
Sold No · Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$531d ago
Bought Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$121d ago
Bought Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$191d ago
Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$121d ago
Bought Yes · Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$881d ago
Bought No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$425d ago
Bought No · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$435d ago
Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?$585d ago
Bought Yes · Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?$305d ago