2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4

Predicting since Feb 2025802 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics	Yes	$298	77¢	83¢	+$23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics	Yes	$189	97¢	100¢	+$5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics	No	$131	95¢	97¢	+$3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$94	85¢	95¢	+$10
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech	Yes	$99	92¢	97¢	+$5
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$84	84¢	87¢	+$3
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance	No	$122	86¢	59¢	-$39
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech	Yes	$81	67¢	68¢	+$1
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics	No	$40	87¢	97¢	+$4
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance	Yes	$41	66¢	71¢	+$3
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance	No	$35	29¢	29¢	+$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech	No	$19	30¢	32¢	+$1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$49	87¢	3.1¢	-$47
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics	NoResolved	$85	85¢	0.0¢	-$85
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 13?Weather	NoResolved	$30	100¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Tech	YesResolved	$119	99¢	0.0¢	-$119
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$24	84¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$15	51¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?Weather	NoResolved	$30	100¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?Weather	NoResolved	$30	100¢	0.0¢	-$30

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$572

Weather-$441

Tech+$156

NBA-$154

Culture-$87

Bundesliga-$58

Crypto+$37

Mentions+$29

Finance-$27

NFL+$9

Other-$7

Soccer (other)+$2

Biggest hit

+$188

US-China trade deal before June?

Toughest beat

-$434

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on January 7?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$2921h ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$021h ago
Bought Yes · Anthropic IPO before 2027?$671d ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1501d ago
Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1931d ago
Bought Yes · Anthropic IPO before 2027?$141d ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$61d ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$971d ago
Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$971d ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$3781d ago
Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1461d ago
Bought Yes · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1141d ago