eradek

Predicting since Nov 202435 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.3K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$100	59¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 9?Weather	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	19¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Tech	YesResolved	$75	24¢	0.0¢	-$75
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$100	45¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on November 14 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$20	34¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?Politics	NoResolved	$25	71¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$64	16¢	0.0¢	-$64
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Politics	YesResolved	$400	46¢	0.0¢	-$400
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$10	12¢	0.0¢	-$10
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	13¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will someone else be inaugurated?Politics	YesResolved	$15	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$15
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	18¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on November 9?Weather	YesResolved	$1	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Politics	NoResolved	$20	27¢	0.0¢	-$20

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.3K

Tech-$239

Crypto+$162

Culture-$100

Weather-$2

Biggest hit

+$113

Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?

Toughest beat

-$451

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$646mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1006mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$756mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.5 on November 14 2025?$546mo ago
Cashed out No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1196mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1008mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1008mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1008mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1008mo ago
Sold No · U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$1328mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1008mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on November 9?$18mo ago