 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?Tech | No | $41 | 87¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Weather | No | $44 | 88¢ | 81¢ | -$4 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Weather | No | $42 | 42¢ | 38¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $34 | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $32 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 77¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
 Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $30 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
 Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $31 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $30 | 74¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
 Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $32 | 80¢ | 70¢ | -$4 |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $27 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $27 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $28 | 56¢ | 53¢ | -$2 |
 Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Soccer (other) | No | $26 | 65¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Other sports | No | $25 | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $25 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Weather | No | $27 | 68¢ | 62¢ | -$3 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 77¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $22 | 43¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | No | $21 | 42¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | No | $19 | 52¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $18 | 52¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
 Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Politics | No | $16 | 81¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $15 | 79¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 41¢ | 35¢ | -$2 |
 Will Rutgers have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?College Football | Yes | $16 | 39¢ | 35¢ | -$2 |
 Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?NFL | No | $14 | 77¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Tech | No | $13 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Drake Maye have 4,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $13 | 65¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $12 | 83¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $11 | 28¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $10 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $10 | 74¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $16 | 31¢ | 18¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Broncos win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $7 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
| Will San Diego State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?College Football | No | $7 | 78¢ | 67¢ | -$1 |
 Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $4 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $4 | 71¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ncedo Kumbaca be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $4 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $4 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Tech | No | $4 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 76¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $4 | 79¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Fuse FDV above $6B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $5 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?MLB | No | $4 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $4 | 89¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jaques Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $5 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $4 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 67¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Noble FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $5 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 0%-3%?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?Crypto | No | $4 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Hotstuff FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026?Culture | No | $4 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?Finance | No | $4 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Soccer (other) | No | $4 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3 | 59¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $4 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $4 | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Aidan Hutchinson win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?NFL | No | $4 | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $4 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 StripChain FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Premier League | No | $4 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Culture | No | $4 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 0%-3%?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?eSports | No | $4 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Sold No · Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?$531m ago
Sold No · Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?$3133m ago
Sold No · Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?$2948m ago
Bought No · Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?$11h ago
Sold Yes · Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?$12h ago