Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $2.7K | 43¢ | 42¢ | -$49 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $559 | 29¢ | 23¢ | -$125 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $169 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$8 |
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | No | $176 | 58¢ | 53¢ | -$17 |
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?Culture | No | $93 | 60¢ | 87¢ | +$41 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | No | $88 | 34¢ | 45¢ | +$29 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $85 | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $87 | 57¢ | 51¢ | -$9 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $1.0K | 20¢ | 1.4¢ | -$958 |
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?Culture | Yes | $9 | 13¢ | 81¢ | +$51 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 45¢ | +$58 |
Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $46 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $9 | 7.7¢ | 32¢ | +$28 |
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $11 | 10¢ | 34¢ | +$26 |
Will Clécio Luís win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $34 | 75¢ | 70¢ | -$2 |
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 32¢ | +$22 |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Politics | No | $32 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$6 |
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $27 | 54¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $183 | 20¢ | 2.1¢ | -$164 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Economy | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 34¢ | +$9 |
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Culture | No | $11 | 69¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $9 | 7.7¢ | 11¢ | +$4 |
Will "A Minecraft Movie" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $12 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $44 | 24¢ | 6.6¢ | -$32 |
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $9 | 7.7¢ | 10¢ | +$3 |
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $9 | 7.7¢ | 9.8¢ | +$2 |
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Politics | No | $11 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on December 31?Politics | Yes | $31 | 20¢ | 7.0¢ | -$20 |
Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Politics | No | $10 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $28 | 3.6¢ | 1.3¢ | -$18 |
Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.1¢ | 5.5¢ | +$4 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 2.9¢ | +$9 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $21 | 20¢ | 7.5¢ | -$13 |
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $1.1K | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.0K |
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $9 | 7.7¢ | 6.6¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon tweet 1000-1039 times in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 3.1¢ | 2.4¢ | -$2 |
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $9 | 7.7¢ | 4.9¢ | -$3 |
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$7 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?Economy | No | $3 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 41¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $188 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | -$184 |
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?Culture | Yes | $9 | 13¢ | 5.5¢ | -$5 |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Economy | Yes | $17 | 11¢ | 2.3¢ | -$14 |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Economy | Yes | $17 | 11¢ | 2.3¢ | -$14 |
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.6¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | No | $3 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 49¢ | +$2 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?Politics | No | $2 | 36¢ | 45¢ | +$1 |
Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?Politics | No | $1 | 10¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?Politics | No | $2 | 4.0¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 11¢ | 59¢ | +$2 |
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 17¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 63¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?Culture | No | $44 | 39¢ | 1.3¢ | -$42 |
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.6¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Culture | No | $109 | 84¢ | 1.1¢ | -$108 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $83 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$82 |
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $83 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$82 |
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Politics | No | $1 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $9 | 7.7¢ | 0.9¢ | -$8 |
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?Culture | No | $12 | 7.1¢ | 0.6¢ | -$11 |
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 14 and September 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed shaking hands during their summit?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon tweet 280-319 times in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Elon tweet 360-399 times in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Elon tweet 240-279 times in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released prior to August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit?Politics | YesResolved | $46 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of September 21?Tech | YesResolved | $34 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Elon tweet 640-679 times in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Elon tweet 520-559 times in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon tweet 200-239 times in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Elon tweet 440-479 times in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will there be exactly 1 Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of September 21?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon tweet 560-599 times in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $480 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$480 |
Will Elon tweet 400-439 times in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |