0x01ca…708e

Predicting since Mar 202325 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics	No	$74	64¢	63¢	-$2
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics	Yes	$50	12¢	12¢	-$2
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Politics	Yes	$50	12¢	8.5¢	-$13
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Politics	Yes	$50	14¢	8.0¢	-$22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$21	2.4¢	2.3¢	-$1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Politics	YesResolved	$40	32¢	0.0¢	-$40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$30	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$48	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?Politics	NoResolved	$5	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Politics	NoResolved	$20	20¢	0.0¢	-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Politics	YesResolved	$15	14¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$40	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$40
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$58	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$75	6.1¢	0.0¢	-$75
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Politics	YesResolved	$50	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$50

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$103

Culture-$48

Biggest hit

+$271

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Toughest beat

-$39

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Bought No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$752d ago
Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?$52d ago
Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$202d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$1003d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$227d ago
Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$207d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$308d ago
Bought Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$508d ago
Bought Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?$508d ago
Bought Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?$508d ago
Sold Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$24mo ago