 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 8.0¢ | 5.1¢ | -$4 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 21¢ | 6.5¢ | -$14 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$5 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 6.1¢ | -$6 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will all Love Is Blind S9 finale couples get married?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Pakistan strikes Kabul by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Kash Patel out by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Dogecoin all time high before 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon Musk tweet more August 15 than day before?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $11 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $50 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2900 and $3000 on July 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $100 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump attend UFC 318?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $30 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Zelensky in Alaska by Sunday?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3100 before July 14?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Melania Trump sue Hunter Biden by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $30 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $110 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
 Will Kai Cenat donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Other sports | YesResolved | $120 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
 Evidence Elon Musk went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Sabrina Carpenter holds 3 top 10 spots on Billboard Hot 100 for week of September 13th?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 D4vd arrested by December 31?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Solana reach $210 in December?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 JB Pritzker arrested by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Other | YesResolved | $5 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Xi visit the US by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Trump x Modi talk by September 5?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 12-18?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Other | YesResolved | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Steph Curry divorce by December 31?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Other sports | YesResolved | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Chainlink hit $30 before August?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will a hurricane form by May 31?Weather | YesResolved | $50 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $15 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $51 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?Crypto | NoResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Token Launch Party ParlayCrypto | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | NoResolved | $50 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 September 29-October 5?Crypto | YesResolved | $15 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Tech | YesResolved | $185 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$185 |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Drake's "Which One" debut at #1 in its first week?Culture | YesResolved | $41 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Donald Trump call Vladimir Putin “crazy” on Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Congressman joins the America Party before August?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Cashed out No · Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?$968mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?$1010mo ago