← Whale Watch

kandinsky

Predicting since May 20251,067 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.2K on Politics markets since May 2025.

Right now: $1.5K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?PoliticsYes$550.6¢0.5¢-$13
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$403.6¢2.0¢-$18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1120¢21¢+$0
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$80.9¢0.9¢-$0
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$50.2¢0.1¢-$2
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$52.5¢1.1¢-$3
Will Donald Trump visit Maine in 2026?PoliticsYes$230¢44¢+$1
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?NBAYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$152.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$14234¢0.0¢-$142
Will the US strike Colombia next?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will another margin of victory outcome occur in the next Maltese general election?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?NFLNoResolved$66.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$50.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFLNoResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$400.1¢0.0¢-$40
Will Streaks be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?TechYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$36.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-24?Other sportsYesResolved$51.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5NBAOverResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?PoliticsYesResolved$41.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$60.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? TechNoResolved$2113¢0.0¢-$21
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Kentucky visit?MentionsNoResolved$730¢0.0¢-$7
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?CultureYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$53.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round?PoliticsYesResolved$21211¢0.0¢-$212
Timberwolves vs. HawksNBATimberwolvesResolved$9325¢0.0¢-$93
Epstein client list released in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$987.4¢0.0¢-$98
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$32.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?PoliticsNoResolved$90.7¢0.0¢-$9
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?TechYesResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$961.9¢0.0¢-$96
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be below 50%?PoliticsYesResolved$70.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsYesResolved$3712¢0.0¢-$37
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)CultureYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$111.0¢0.0¢-$11
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$100.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?PoliticsYesResolved$22811¢0.0¢-$228
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$100.8¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$137.3¢0.0¢-$13
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?CultureYesResolved$1741.6¢0.0¢-$174
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan WolverinesCollege HoopsConnecticut HuskiesResolved$9827¢0.0¢-$98
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4848¢0.0¢-$48
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$401.3¢0.0¢-$40
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?CultureNoResolved$60.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will Tether be accused of insider trading?CryptoYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$323.0¢0.0¢-$32
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$32.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$24432¢0.0¢-$244
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1428¢0.0¢-$14
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 60% by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1122¢0.0¢-$11
Epstein client list released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$883.4¢0.0¢-$88
Will 7 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?PoliticsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Knicks vs. TimberwolvesNBAKnicksResolved$2532¢0.0¢-$25
North Korea missile launch by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?EconomyYesResolved$41.7¢0.0¢-$4
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$1646.5¢0.0¢-$164
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?CultureYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?PoliticsYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?PoliticsYesResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
US strikes Yemen by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFLNoResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3011¢0.0¢-$30
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$55.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$1042.5¢0.0¢-$104
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?PoliticsYesResolved$344.6¢0.0¢-$34
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$40.8¢0.0¢-$4
Nuggets vs. MavericksNBANuggetsResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$4731¢0.0¢-$47
Jazz vs. ClippersNBAJazzResolved$23911¢0.0¢-$239
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Suns vs. RocketsNBASunsResolved$828¢0.0¢-$8
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?PoliticsYesResolved$62.4¢0.0¢-$6
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2811¢0.0¢-$28
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$433.8¢0.0¢-$43
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5411¢0.0¢-$54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?PoliticsYesResolved$91.8¢0.0¢-$9
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?TechYesResolved$90.3¢0.0¢-$9
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1350.5¢0.0¢-$135
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$4760¢0.0¢-$47
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$51.9¢0.0¢-$5
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$54.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Mamady Doumbouya win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$30.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?PoliticsYesResolved$101.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$70.8¢0.0¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.2K
Tech-$1.4K
Culture-$999
World Cup-$570
Finance-$484
Crypto-$357
Other-$351
NHL-$216
Mentions-$133
College Hoops-$98
Other sports-$74
Boxing-$67
Biggest hit
+$1.8K
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
Toughest beat
-$339
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$2312d ago
  • Bought France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$2612d ago
  • Bought No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1113d ago
  • Cashed out Argentina · Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$2314d ago
  • Bought Argentina · Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$1714d ago