← Whale Watch

joat88

Predicting since Nov 202559 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.9K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $751 across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$6020¢8.5¢-$34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$11011¢0.4¢-$107
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10022¢0.0¢-$100
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$458.4¢0.0¢-$45
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$3495.5¢0.0¢-$349
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?BoxingYesResolved$43.4¢0.0¢-$4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$5200.3¢0.0¢-$520
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21042¢0.0¢-$210
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BoxingYesResolved$9611¢0.0¢-$96
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$10026¢0.0¢-$100
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$909.0¢0.0¢-$90
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?PoliticsYesResolved$100.6¢0.0¢-$10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$23246¢0.0¢-$232
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$784.9¢0.0¢-$78
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11523¢0.0¢-$115
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10017¢0.0¢-$100
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$603.0¢0.0¢-$60
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5016¢0.0¢-$50
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1415.9¢0.0¢-$141
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Other sportsYesResolved$10032¢0.0¢-$100
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$424.2¢0.0¢-$42
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10029¢0.0¢-$100
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5010.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Other sportsYesResolved$500.9¢0.0¢-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$770.7¢0.0¢-$77
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5NFLUnderResolved$20451¢0.0¢-$204
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$4414¢0.0¢-$44
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1208.6¢0.0¢-$120
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1235.0¢0.0¢-$123
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$408.0¢0.0¢-$40
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10013¢0.0¢-$100
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 33.5NFLOverResolved$10058¢0.0¢-$100
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?Other sportsYesResolved$507.3¢0.0¢-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.9K
Culture+$260
Boxing-$100
NFL-$53
Economy-$44
Other sports+$18
World Cup+$8
Biggest hit
+$283
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$169
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1006d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$337d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$1047d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$6310d ago
  • Cashed out Argentina · England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$4310d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$2111d ago
  • Bought Argentina · England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2111d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?$3511d ago
  • Cashed out Spain · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$2611d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?$25111d ago
  • Bought No · Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?$17912d ago
  • Bought Spain · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1112d ago