Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $338 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$21 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $249 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $205 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$25 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $223 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $150 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $140 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$4 |
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?Politics | No | $119 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$9 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $120 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $120 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $120 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$2 |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $120 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$2 |
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $120 | 79¢ | 77¢ | -$3 |
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $115 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $122 | 90¢ | 85¢ | -$6 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Politics | Yes | $103 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $120 | 86¢ | 80¢ | -$8 |
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Politics | No | $119 | 94¢ | 83¢ | -$15 |
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $97 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?Politics | Yes | $100 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $99 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Politics | No | $95 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?Politics | Yes | $84 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $85 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?Politics | Yes | $84 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
Will Angelo Coronel win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics | No | $78 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $100 | 83¢ | 65¢ | -$22 |
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $64 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$10 |
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?Politics | Yes | $70 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $68 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by September 30?Politics | No | $67 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Politics | No | $61 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Politics | No | $65 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?Politics | No | $60 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $60 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $60 | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics | No | $61 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $61 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Trump out as President by September 30?Politics | No | $61 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $61 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Rastislav Gajarský win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $60 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Politics | No | $61 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | No | $60 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $60 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $61 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Politics | No | $61 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?Politics | No | $61 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $60 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $60 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $61 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics | No | $60 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $61 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Politics | No | $61 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Politics | No | $58 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Macron out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $58 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Politics | No | $57 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $61 | 91¢ | 87¢ | -$3 |
NATO article 5 before 2027?Politics | No | $56 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in September 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $58 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?Politics | No | $57 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $54 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | No | $57 | 87¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$2 |
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?Politics | No | $59 | 90¢ | 84¢ | -$4 |
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $54 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $52 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $50 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $50 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
Will the PQ win 80 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Politics | No | $52 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?Politics | Yes | $50 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $48 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat?Politics | Yes | $44 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $44 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?Politics | Yes | $43 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $43 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 64¢ | 72¢ | +$5 |
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $44 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | No | $42 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $40 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Politics | No | $40 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $39 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $39 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $37 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $59 | 86¢ | 55¢ | -$21 |
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $36 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
Databricks IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $30 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $30 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $30 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat?Politics | Yes | $32 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | No | $30 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $30 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Politics | Yes | $30 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |