← Whale Watch
adonpoli
Up $28K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.
Right now: $23K riding on Fed Decision in July?.
Biggest hit: +$13K on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $23K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$11 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $9.0K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$15 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.9K | 79¢ | 69¢ | -$846 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $5.0K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$97 |
 Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?Crypto | No | $1.6K | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$156 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 71¢ | 68¢ | -$70 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$28K
Crypto+$1.5K
eSports-$803
Weather+$372
Culture-$290
Tech+$218
Golf+$167
World Cup-$140
Mentions+$109
Finance-$55
Tennis+$25
Economy+$9
Biggest hit
+$13K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$5.5K
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Recent moves
- Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$19811h ago
- Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13K12h ago
Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$11K16h ago- Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$9.9K1d ago
- Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$2301d ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1831d ago- Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$701d ago
- Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$4041d ago
- Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$8.1K1d ago
- Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$01d ago
- Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$11d ago
- Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$701d ago