 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Culture | Yes | $3 | 2.0¢ | 10¢ | +$13 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 5.0¢ | 18¢ | +$8 |
 Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $3 | 3.6¢ | 11¢ | +$6 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.0¢ | 22¢ | +$6 |
 Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 5.0¢ | 11¢ | +$3 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 16¢ | 30¢ | +$3 |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 22¢ | 38¢ | +$2 |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September?Economy | No | $4 | 25¢ | 38¢ | +$2 |
 Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Politics | No | $3 | 27¢ | 45¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 14?Weather | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 18¢ | +$2 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 21¢ | 32¢ | +$2 |
 Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 41¢ | +$2 |
 Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 35¢ | +$2 |
 Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Politics | No | $3 | 20¢ | 30¢ | +$2 |
 Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $3 | 22¢ | 33¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 15?Weather | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 30¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | Yes | $3 | 3.2¢ | 4.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Politics | No | $3 | 9.0¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 19¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?Politics | No | $3 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
 Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | Yes | $3 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
 Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?Politics | No | $3 | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 15?Weather | Yes | $3 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 8.0¢ | 15¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 18¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 8.0¢ | 9.4¢ | +$1 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 23¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $3 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
 Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Politics | Yes | $3 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Politics | No | $3 | 23¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 14?Weather | Yes | $3 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
 Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 24¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | No | $3 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
 Will "The Whisper Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $3 | 2.0¢ | 2.1¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 8.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | No | $3 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?Economy | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
 Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
 Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 15?Weather | Yes | $3 | 8.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 7.0¢ | 7.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.6¢ | 5.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Politics | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 15?Weather | Yes | $3 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $3 | 22¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
 Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marilyn Crawford win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election?Politics | No | $3 | 22¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Politics | No | $3 | 8.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $4 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?Economy | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
| Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?Culture | No | $3 | 5.5¢ | 5.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will SNSD win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Politics | No | $3 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 24¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in September?Politics | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 25¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
 Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Politics | No | $2 | 27¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $2 | 3.6¢ | 4.5¢ | +$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $3 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $3 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Politics | No | $3 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 9.0¢ | 3.4¢ | -$4 |
 Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $3 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 26 million views on day 2?Culture | Yes | $3 | 2.0¢ | 1.4¢ | -$1 |
| Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Politics | No | $3 | 3.0¢ | 2.2¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Tech | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 26¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 2.0¢ | 1.5¢ | -$1 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 26¢ | 36¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $3 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Politics | No | $3 | 8.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 21¢ | 36¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?Tech | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $3 | 15¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?Politics | No | $3 | 16¢ | 10¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 24¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | No | $1 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ciro Nogueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 24¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 26¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
Sold Yes · Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?$133m ago
Sold No · Will Trump praise Dana White in September?$01h ago
Bought Yes · Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?$41h ago
Sold Yes · Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?$12h ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 15?$03h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?$33h ago