 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $94 | 5.0¢ | 12¢ | +$141 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $147 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$25 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $99 | 2.9¢ | 3.5¢ | +$17 |
 Blue wave in 2026?Politics | No | $107 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $30 | 2.5¢ | 8.3¢ | +$68 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $61 | 1.1¢ | 1.4¢ | +$15 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $60 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $52 | 1.4¢ | 1.6¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $51 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$6 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?Politics | No | $43 | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Politics | Yes | $80 | 5.7¢ | 3.4¢ | -$32 |
 Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?Politics | Yes | $73 | 6.7¢ | 4.2¢ | -$27 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $38 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $47 | 9.0¢ | 7.7¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $35 | 1.3¢ | 1.5¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $25 | 2.0¢ | 3.1¢ | +$13 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $106 | 8.5¢ | 2.9¢ | -$71 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $25 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$8 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $68 | 15¢ | 7.0¢ | -$37 |
 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $47 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$16 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $26 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $18 | 37¢ | 48¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $11 | 1.0¢ | 1.8¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?Politics | Yes | $28 | 2.3¢ | 1.5¢ | -$10 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $16 | 1.8¢ | 1.7¢ | -$1 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 5.3¢ | 7.5¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?Politics | Yes | $11 | 2.2¢ | 2.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $10 | 40¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
 Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | Yes | $20 | 1.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$12 |
 Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 1.7¢ | 1.1¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.7¢ | +$2 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $6 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.9¢ | 7.5¢ | +$4 |
 Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | Yes | $17 | 2.1¢ | 0.5¢ | -$13 |
 Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 1.2¢ | 1.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 2.9¢ | 1.1¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.1¢ | 5.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $0 | 4.6¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 67¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard CrimsonBasketball (other) | Harvard CrimsonResolved | $1 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $33 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $58 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?World Cup | YesResolved | $13 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| William & Mary Tribe vs. Campbell Fighting CamelsBasketball (other) | William & Mary TribeResolved | $1 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt CommodoresBasketball (other) | Vanderbilt CommodoresResolved | $1 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Tech | NoResolved | $87 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Colgate Raiders vs. Boston TerriersBasketball (other) | Colgate RaidersResolved | $2 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Cavaliers vs. RaptorsNBA | CavaliersResolved | $1 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsBasketball (other) | Texas Southern TigersResolved | $1 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Oregon Ducks vs. USC TrojansBasketball (other) | USC TrojansResolved | $1 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| West Georgia Wolves vs. Eastern Kentucky ColonelsBasketball (other) | West Georgia WolvesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Central Arkansas Bears vs. Florida Gulf Coast EaglesBasketball (other) | Central Arkansas BearsResolved | $1 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Youngstown State Penguins vs. Oakland Golden GrizzliesBasketball (other) | Oakland Golden GrizzliesResolved | $2 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Texas Southern Tigers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsBasketball (other) | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will 56 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State WildcatsBasketball (other) | Baylor BearsResolved | $1 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?Politics | NoResolved | $38 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. UC Riverside HighlandersBasketball (other) | Bakersfield RoadrunnersResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $14 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?Politics | NoResolved | $33 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 24?$202d ago