willythenilly

Predicting since Sep 202547 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$130	73¢	0.0¢	-$130
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Tech	YesResolved	$10	4.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$100	44¢	0.0¢	-$100
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$10	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?Politics	YesResolved	$10	32¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Botswana win on 2025-12-23?Other sports	YesResolved	$10	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?Politics	YesResolved	$10	35¢	0.0¢	-$10
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$10	20¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$100	31¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$100	44¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$101	40¢	0.0¢	-$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$100	35¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$100	52¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$10	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$109	44¢	0.0¢	-$109
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$100	45¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$103	34¢	0.0¢	-$103
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 15-21?Crypto	YesResolved	$99	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$97	31¢	0.0¢	-$97
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$100	31¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$100	38¢	0.0¢	-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$100	17¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$10	6.7¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$480

Politics-$45

Tech-$10

Other sports-$10

Culture-$9

Economy-$8

Biggest hit

+$335

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7AM ET

Toughest beat

-$9

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?$37mo ago
Sold Yes · Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$87mo ago
Sold Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$87mo ago
Sold Yes · US government shutdown Saturday?$97mo ago
Sold Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$117mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$147mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$107mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$107mo ago
Bought Yes · US government shutdown Saturday?$107mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?$107mo ago
Bought Yes · U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?$107mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Botswana win on 2025-12-23?$107mo ago