 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $13 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?Finance | YesResolved | $13 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Unit launch a token in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $66 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 14 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?Culture | YesResolved | $126 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 XRP Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will between 310 and 319 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?Culture | YesResolved | $116 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?Economy | No ChangeResolved | $3 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $52 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Premier League | YesResolved | $361 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$361 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Tech | YesResolved | $62 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $24 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or higher on November 22?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 11?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $8 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $146 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$146 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 23 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on November 22?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $253 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$253 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $29 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 16 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in November?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 22?Weather | NoResolved | $54 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?Other sports | NoResolved | $81 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?Politics | YesResolved | $74 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $25 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $34 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 27 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?Culture | YesResolved | $115 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 24 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionTech | NoResolved | $31 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 20, 3PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 15 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $23 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $33 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $24 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $4 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?Culture | YesResolved | $115 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lot 4 Vincent van Gogh’s “Le Semeur dans un champ de blé au soleil couchant” sell for 9m or more?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?Crypto | YesResolved | $75 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $37 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will Google reach $355 in November?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 13 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lot 8 Gustav Klimt’s “Bildnis Elisabeth Lederer (Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer)” sell for 150m or more?Culture | NoResolved | $9 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lot 5 Henri Matisse’s “La Serpentine” sell for 10m or more?Culture | NoResolved | $18 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $39 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13?Crypto | NoResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $56 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Cashed out No · Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$2002mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5002mo ago
Cashed out Silver · Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?$1007mo ago