Irascivel

Predicting since Dec 202550 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$50	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?Politics	YesResolved	$16	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$5	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$3	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$14	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$14
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$2	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$8	4.4¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Politics	YesResolved	$59	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$59
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Tech	YesResolved	$3	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$14	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$14
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$3	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Politics	NoResolved	$6	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Politics	YesResolved	$25	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Premier League+$535

Tech-$64

Economy-$45

Crypto-$16

Politics+$4

Culture+$2

NBA-$2

World Cup-$2

Biggest hit

+$535

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Toughest beat

-$86

Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$05mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$15mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$15mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Neemias Queta lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$05mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?$15mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?$15mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$25mo ago
Sold Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$25mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?$35mo ago
Sold Yes · Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$6085mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?$85mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$75mo ago