← Whale Watch

marius420

Predicting since Nov 202438 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $12K on Crypto markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $8.5K across 2 Crypto markets.

Biggest hit: +$19K on Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K5.4¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoNoResolved$6.2K38¢0.0¢-$6.2K
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?PoliticsYesResolved$8.4K20¢0.0¢-$8.4K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1128.0¢0.0¢-$112
Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?PoliticsYesResolved$1.4K15¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?CryptoYesResolved$1033.8¢0.0¢-$103
Will between 400 and 409 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?PoliticsYesResolved$8008.0¢0.0¢-$800
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$259¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$1801.8¢0.0¢-$180
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$4.0K50¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1836.5¢0.0¢-$183
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9AM ETCryptoUpResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?World CupYesResolved$45.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$20469¢0.0¢-$204
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$2402.0¢0.0¢-$240
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1401.4¢0.0¢-$140
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? CryptoYesResolved$1.9K6.5¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$1801.8¢0.0¢-$180
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$1601.6¢0.0¢-$160
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoNoResolved$2.3K3.7¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$9909.9¢0.0¢-$990
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$1001.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$3621.8¢0.0¢-$362
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$1255.0¢0.0¢-$125
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 18 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2.2K17¢0.0¢-$2.2K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$12K
Boxing-$3.0K
Politics-$658
Finance-$204
World Cup-$4
Biggest hit
+$19K
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$3.2K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?$51mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$74mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$54mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$264mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$264mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$5904mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$524mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$124mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$264mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$264mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$284mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$264mo ago