Marketpoll

Predicting since Dec 202488 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $148K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $18K riding on US x Venezuela military engagement by...?.

Biggest hit: +$79K on Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics	YesResolved	$5	21¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics	YesResolved	$14K	12¢	0.0¢	-$14K
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	YesResolved	$736	18¢	0.0¢	-$736
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$1.9K	6.5¢	0.0¢	-$1.9K
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$1.6K	71¢	0.0¢	-$1.6K
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Politics	YesResolved	$2.5K	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$2.5K
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1	YesResolved	$531	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$531
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics	NoResolved	$506	51¢	0.0¢	-$506
Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?Politics	YesResolved	$256	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$256
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in October 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$20	16¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Politics	NoResolved	$1.3K	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$1.3K
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Formula 1	YesResolved	$735	17¢	0.0¢	-$735
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?Politics	NoResolved	$3	38¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$6.0K	20¢	0.0¢	-$6.0K
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$80	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$80
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$128	16¢	0.0¢	-$128
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?Politics	YesResolved	$2.6K	20¢	0.0¢	-$2.6K
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Politics	YesResolved	$2.8K	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$2.8K
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics	YesResolved	$18K	37¢	0.0¢	-$18K
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in October 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$47	17¢	0.0¢	-$47
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025?Weather	NoResolved	$548	70¢	0.0¢	-$548
Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Politics	YesResolved	$9	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?Politics	YesResolved	$488	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$488
Larger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?Politics	New JerseyResolved	$392	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$392
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20–25%?Politics	YesResolved	$137	15¢	0.0¢	-$137