J4RL3M

Predicting since Jan 2026251 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.3K on Weather markets since Jan 2026.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$430	43¢	21¢	-$225
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics	Yes	$56	56¢	55¢	-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$18	0.8¢	0.7¢	-$3
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$30	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	50¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	50¢	0.0¢	-$50
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$18	15¢	0.0¢	-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	10¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	50¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$5	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$83	7.1¢	0.0¢	-$83
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup	YesResolved	$27	11¢	0.0¢	-$27
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 420m?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump attend UFC 330?UFC / MMA	YesResolved	$8	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$8
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Politics	NoResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by July 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	50¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 380m and 390m?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$5	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	50¢	0.0¢	-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Weather+$1.3K

Politics+$556

World Cup-$380

UFC / MMA-$55

Crypto-$46

Soccer (other)-$31

Finance-$21

Culture-$3

NFL+$0

Biggest hit

+$1.3K

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Toughest beat

-$248

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$569h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$82d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$102d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$373d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$593d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1123d ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$403d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$2373d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$2023d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$643d ago
Sold Yes · Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$93d ago
Sold Yes · Israeli election results in a hung parliament?$103d ago