 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $70 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$11 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $35 | 3.8¢ | 3.6¢ | -$1 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 8.4¢ | 5.1¢ | -$16 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 15¢ | 36¢ | +$14 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 10¢ | 4.8¢ | -$21 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $15 | 7.5¢ | 6.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 8.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $10 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $94 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?Finance | UpResolved | $5 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $12 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $209 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$209 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |