 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $377 | 65¢ | 62¢ | -$22 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $332 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $260 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $248 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $216 | 57¢ | 55¢ | -$10 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $149 | 78¢ | 72¢ | -$11 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $112 | 56¢ | 60¢ | +$7 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $86 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Crypto | No | $82 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Politics | Yes | $74 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $58 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $50 | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$11 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $56 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $56 | 26¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $42 | 43¢ | 53¢ | +$10 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $48 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
 Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $50 | 68¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Politics | No | $34 | 22¢ | 30¢ | +$12 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $46 | 23¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $21 | 17¢ | 33¢ | +$20 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $39 | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $32 | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
| Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $31 | 78¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?Politics | Yes | $33 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?Politics | No | $42 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Politics | No | $23 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$3 |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBA | No | $32 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$6 |
 Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?Premier League | No | $30 | 33¢ | 27¢ | -$6 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Politics | Yes | $25 | 50¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $23 | 23¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $38 | 24¢ | 14¢ | -$16 |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | No | $33 | 46¢ | 27¢ | -$14 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?Finance | Yes | $19 | 30¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
| Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?Other sports | No | $12 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Culture | No | $18 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?MLB | No | $17 | 90¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7.25B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $9 | 20¢ | 31¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Culture | Yes | $17 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?MLB | Yes | $9 | 33¢ | 53¢ | +$5 |
 Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 67¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Politics | No | $13 | 52¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $17 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 59¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?Politics | No | $36 | 10¢ | 2.6¢ | -$27 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$3 |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?Finance | Yes | $15 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $15 | 18¢ | 10¢ | -$7 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?Finance | Yes | $24 | 15¢ | 5.1¢ | -$16 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
| Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?Politics | No | $9 | 28¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
| Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?Politics | Yes | $25 | 24¢ | 7.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Chuk Anyanwu win Big Brother season 28?Culture | Yes | $9 | 8.7¢ | 7.2¢ | -$1 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Economy | No | $6 | 56¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $6 | 34¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
| Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 15¢ | 3.5¢ | -$23 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 36¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
 Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 18¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 7.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $13 | 65¢ | 33¢ | -$6 |
 Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 41¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Politics | Yes | $5 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics | No | $7 | 26¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 8.0¢ | 2.5¢ | -$11 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $8 | 39¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
| Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $39 | 31¢ | 3.6¢ | -$35 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Other | Yes | $4 | 31¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Politics | Yes | $12 | 13¢ | 5.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics | Yes | $19 | 21¢ | 5.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | No | $5 | 8.9¢ | 7.0¢ | -$1 |
 MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
 Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central titleMLB | Yes | $3 | 72¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$1 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Economy | No | $2 | 32¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
| Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?Politics | No | $10 | 5.0¢ | 1.5¢ | -$7 |
 Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $1 | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?MLB | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$5 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $2 | 51¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
 Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB | Yes | $3 | 82¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 53¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 46¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 79¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 60¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Soccer (other) | Yes | $2 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?Finance | No | $12 | 31¢ | 3.6¢ | -$11 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 6.8¢ | 0.6¢ | -$14 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $1 | 30¢ | 29¢ | -$0 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
| Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?Soccer (other) | Yes | $66 | 52¢ | 1.1¢ | -$65 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $1 | 80¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |