 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $342 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$4 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $249 | 50¢ | 45¢ | -$26 |
 Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $97 | 64¢ | 95¢ | +$47 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $114 | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$5 |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $98 | 55¢ | 54¢ | -$3 |
 Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $93 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $68 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$3 |
 Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $60 | 40¢ | 39¢ | -$2 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $44 | 44¢ | 53¢ | +$9 |
 Will Grüne win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $57 | 57¢ | 53¢ | -$5 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $45 | 63¢ | 72¢ | +$6 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | No | $35 | 41¢ | 54¢ | +$11 |
 Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $23 | 46¢ | 77¢ | +$16 |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $37 | 75¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
 Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Politics | No | $31 | 45¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
 Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | No | $36 | 73¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | No | $32 | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $22 | 32¢ | 44¢ | +$8 |
| Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $32 | 63¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $27 | 61¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Crypto | No | $34 | 91¢ | 72¢ | -$7 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?Tech | No | $19 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $23 | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
 Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $27 | 54¢ | 53¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $13 | 32¢ | 64¢ | +$13 |
| Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $28 | 56¢ | 51¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $28 | 56¢ | 50¢ | -$3 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tech | No | $11 | 55¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $18 | 56¢ | 61¢ | +$2 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $20 | 55¢ | 53¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | No | $30 | 56¢ | 36¢ | -$11 |
| Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $19 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $22 | 56¢ | 47¢ | -$4 |
 Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Politics | Yes | $16 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
| Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $14 | 50¢ | 64¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Politics | No | $15 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?Politics | No | $42 | 21¢ | 7.5¢ | -$27 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $16 | 68¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
 Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Politics | Yes | $15 | 74¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Economy | No | $26 | 52¢ | 27¢ | -$13 |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Weather | Yes | $13 | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 35¢ | 46¢ | +$3 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $17 | 34¢ | 26¢ | -$4 |
 Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?MLS | Yes | $9 | 48¢ | 64¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Politics | No | $12 | 60¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?eSports | Yes | $12 | 47¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
 Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19?Culture | No | $8 | 15¢ | 24¢ | +$4 |
 Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 36¢ | 27¢ | -$4 |
 Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Politics | No | $13 | 65¢ | 55¢ | -$2 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Weather | No | $9 | 36¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
 Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $12 | 62¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech | Yes | $13 | 63¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics | No | $8 | 36¢ | 46¢ | +$2 |
 Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.50 in September?Finance | No | $8 | 42¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 64¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?MLB | Yes | $7 | 68¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $11 | 82¢ | 62¢ | -$3 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 62¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
 Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?NFL | No | $8 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
 Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $9 | 57¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?La Liga | Yes | $8 | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $9 | 43¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 70¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $17 | 37¢ | 17¢ | -$9 |
 Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Culture | No | $7 | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
 Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 15¢ | 3.5¢ | -$23 |
 Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Weather | Yes | $5 | 39¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 64¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?Economy | No | $5 | 44¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 69¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Economy | No | $8 | 63¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Culture | No | $4 | 44¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 32¢ | -$3 |
| Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?eSports | No | $5 | 51¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB | Yes | $4 | 61¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in September?Finance | No | $8 | 42¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
 Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 41¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 36¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $6 | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Politics | No | $6 | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Weather | No | $5 | 58¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
| Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?eSports | Yes | $8 | 50¢ | 35¢ | -$3 |
 Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?MLB | Yes | $5 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 77¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $4 | 33¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Politics | No | $6 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $7 | 60¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Tech | No | $2 | 14¢ | 42¢ | +$4 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | Yes | $5 | 47¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Tech | Yes | $6 | 45¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $4 | 66¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $7 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $4 | 36¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?MLS | No | $5 | 54¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | No | $5 | 74¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in September?Finance | Yes | $5 | 58¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
 Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Politics | No | $5 | 63¢ | 55¢ | -$1 |
 Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Culture | Yes | $3 | 54¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 45¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
 Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Politics | No | $5 | 55¢ | 46¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$01h ago
Cashed out No · Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?$01h ago
Cashed out No · Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?$514h ago
Cashed out No · Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$018h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?$018h ago
Cashed out No · Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?$18421h ago
Cashed out No · Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?$1123h ago
Cashed out No · Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?$51d ago
Sold No · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?$31d ago