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DontTrustMe

Predicting since Mar 2025108 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $10K on Politics markets since Mar 2025.

Right now: $3.2K across 3 Formula 1 markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.0K on Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.1K75¢96¢+$861
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.2K86¢91¢+$63
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$99283¢90¢+$86
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$1.8K44¢25¢-$750
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$77377¢92¢+$142
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$74775¢81¢+$63
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$67983¢88¢+$39
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?PoliticsNo$53785¢96¢+$65
NATO article 5 before 2027?PoliticsNo$54984¢92¢+$49
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?PoliticsNo$51586¢97¢+$66
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Other sportsNo$43172¢90¢+$109
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$41884¢93¢+$44
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?PoliticsYes$29167¢94¢+$117
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?PoliticsYes$24254¢89¢+$159
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$34085¢95¢+$41
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$22554¢87¢+$140
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechNo$33584¢91¢+$27
Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?PoliticsNo$24581¢99¢+$56
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?PoliticsNo$21988¢96¢+$22
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$23282¢85¢+$8
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$48612¢5.5¢-$266
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16784¢96¢+$24
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$17085¢96¢+$21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17085¢92¢+$13
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?PoliticsNo$16688¢96¢+$15
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$15389¢97¢+$14
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$13785¢93¢+$12
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$14271¢74¢+$6
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$12083¢97¢+$19
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?PoliticsNo$11484¢95¢+$15
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$11286¢94¢+$10
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$8768¢79¢+$14
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$7384¢92¢+$7
Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen?PoliticsNo$5684¢95¢+$7
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2867¢80¢+$5
Will Russia make Eric Adams a citizen?PoliticsNo$3290¢95¢+$2
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2288¢95¢+$2
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$985¢96¢+$1
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$585¢100¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$10K
Formula 1-$927
Tech+$644
Economy-$114
Other sports+$109
Tennis+$44
World Cup+$13
Soccer (other)+$3
Champions League+$3
Weather+$0
Biggest hit
+$4.0K
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Toughest beat
-$275
French election called by October 17?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$34816h ago
  • Bought No · Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$60323h ago
  • Sold No · Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$7723h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$91d ago
  • Bought No · Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$431d ago
  • Bought No · Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$01d ago
  • Bought No · Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$431d ago
  • Bought No · Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$431d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$01d ago