 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$249 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $1.8K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$95 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | No | $1.0K | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$47 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $578 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$30 |
 Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Economy | No | $277 | 90¢ | 62¢ | -$88 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $77 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$14 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | No | $83 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $60 | 15¢ | 20¢ | +$20 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $430 | 56¢ | 11¢ | -$349 |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ?Mentions | No | $72 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Politics | Yes | $84 | 86¢ | 53¢ | -$32 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Politics | No | $36 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $28 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 69¢ | 61¢ | -$3 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $30 | 67¢ | 45¢ | -$10 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $21 | 21¢ | 8.3¢ | -$13 |
 Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks in North Carolina?Mentions | Yes | $8 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $54 | 62¢ | 8.5¢ | -$47 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 75¢ | 18¢ | -$24 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 64¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?Mentions | No | $5 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 61¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 18¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 15?Weather | NoResolved | $4 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $24 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnereSports | Team SpiritResolved | $112 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $22 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $23 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1eSports | SinnersResolved | $128 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |
| Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 PlayoffseSports | OGResolved | $145 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?Weather | NoResolved | $21 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $22 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?Weather | NoResolved | $10 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $33 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?Weather | NoResolved | $13 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Soccer (other) | OverResolved | $104 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $28 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
 LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnereSports | Anyone's LegendResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $1.2K | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $25 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Trump say "Veteran" during his remarks in Arlington?Mentions | YesResolved | $111 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6?Weather | YesResolved | $172 | 98¢ | 0.0¢ | -$172 |
 Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersMLB | Detroit TigersResolved | $5 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $17 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | HANJIN BRIONResolved | $13 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Trump say "Honor" during Tele-Rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $54 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnereSports | Natus VincereResolved | $61 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnereSports | Anyone's LegendResolved | $11 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1eSports | LiquidResolved | $96 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $17 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?Mentions | NoResolved | $75 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnereSports | Team FalconsResolved | $646 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$646 |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1eSports | M80Resolved | $129 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$129 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $9 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $12 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 12?Weather | NoResolved | $123 | 99¢ | 0.0¢ | -$123 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $13 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $24 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1eSports | FlyQuestResolved | $147 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
| Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $12 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $21 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 WinnereSports | SentinelsResolved | $121 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $19 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $29 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 17?Weather | NoResolved | $4 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $55 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $17 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Trump say "Fake News" during remarks in Georgia?Mentions | NoResolved | $22 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?Weather | NoResolved | $9 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $25 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $16 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $29 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnereSports | HANJIN BRIONResolved | $177 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$177 |
 Will Klarna say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $47 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $27 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?Weather | NoResolved | $9 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $26 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Mentions | YesResolved | $119 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$119 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $41 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $250 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
| Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $38 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $26 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $18 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffseSports | ThunderTalk GamingResolved | $29 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $40 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $202 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$202 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSports | Team LiquidResolved | $106 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Sold Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$3518h ago
Bought Yes · Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 16?$119h ago