 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $716 | 58¢ | 99¢ | +$506 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Politics | No | $737 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$55 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $560 | 73¢ | 89¢ | +$125 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $352 | 22¢ | 43¢ | +$328 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $564 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$52 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $549 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$59 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $579 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$29 |
 Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $554 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$44 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $555 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$42 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $559 | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$16 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $485 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$82 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $488 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$64 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $370 | 40¢ | 60¢ | +$180 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $485 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$63 |
 Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?Culture | No | $461 | 75¢ | 87¢ | +$72 |
 Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $504 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$21 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $491 | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$16 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $350 | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$148 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $366 | 71¢ | 93¢ | +$113 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $334 | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$133 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Politics | No | $348 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$113 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $433 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$25 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $363 | 79¢ | 97¢ | +$83 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $363 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$83 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $348 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$87 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $369 | 67¢ | 79¢ | +$66 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $352 | 79¢ | 97¢ | +$81 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $594 | 57¢ | 41¢ | -$168 |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $369 | 67¢ | 77¢ | +$55 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Politics | No | $368 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$54 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $370 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$40 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $339 | 62¢ | 75¢ | +$68 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $367 | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$24 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $365 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$25 |
| Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?Culture | No | $369 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$17 |
 Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?Politics | No | $358 | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$27 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $106 | 15¢ | 52¢ | +$259 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $332 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$19 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $245 | 45¢ | 51¢ | +$33 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $254 | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $271 | 60¢ | 59¢ | -$7 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $229 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$36 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $228 | 38¢ | 44¢ | +$36 |
 Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $241 | 46¢ | 50¢ | +$21 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $102 | 6.4¢ | 16¢ | +$150 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $358 | 65¢ | 43¢ | -$124 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $191 | 48¢ | 57¢ | +$39 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $350 | 70¢ | 46¢ | -$122 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $223 | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $173 | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$26 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $226 | 37¢ | 33¢ | -$27 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $120 | 15¢ | 24¢ | +$72 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $195 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$6 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $199 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$33 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?Politics | Yes | $232 | 45¢ | 31¢ | -$75 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $99 | 4.3¢ | 5.1¢ | +$20 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $105 | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$11 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $190 | 19¢ | 11¢ | -$80 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $99 | 4.7¢ | 5.1¢ | +$7 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $104 | 2.3¢ | 2.4¢ | +$2 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $99 | 2.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$7 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $90 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $101 | 2.8¢ | 2.4¢ | -$16 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture | No | $182 | 87¢ | 37¢ | -$106 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $65 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$7 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $72 | 1.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$4 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $72 | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $117 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$54 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $71 | 5.0¢ | 3.9¢ | -$16 |
 Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Politics | Yes | $71 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$17 |
 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $72 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$23 |
 Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $72 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$36 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $34 | 35¢ | 20¢ | -$15 |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$9 |
 Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 32¢ | +$2 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 68¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?Politics | YesResolved | $94 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
 Will Doug Turner win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $238 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$238 |
 Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Politics | NoResolved | $180 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
 Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Politics | NoResolved | $231 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$231 |
 Will Amanda Hollowell be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?Politics | NoResolved | $146 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$146 |
 Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics | NoResolved | $184 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$184 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $503 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$503 |
| Will Joyce Marie Griggs be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $175 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$175 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Weather | NoResolved | $504 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$504 |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $94 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $109 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
| Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?Politics | NoResolved | $110 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
 Will "Giant" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $100 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $320 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$320 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Tech | NoResolved | $368 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$368 |
 Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $509 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$509 |
 Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $115 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $506 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$506 |
 Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Politics | YesResolved | $498 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$498 |
 Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $904 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$904 |