 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $1.5K | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$131 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $1.0K | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$72 |
 Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?Culture | No | $754 | 77¢ | 97¢ | +$187 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $741 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$96 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $643 | 82¢ | 96¢ | +$107 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $654 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$45 |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be at least 12 hours?Tech | No | $518 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$156 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $176 | 22¢ | 84¢ | +$492 |
| Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Politics | No | $650 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $517 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$52 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $598 | 92¢ | 86¢ | -$42 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $750 | 82¢ | 60¢ | -$206 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $367 | 68¢ | 99¢ | +$165 |
 Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?Culture | No | $443 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$75 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $474 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$17 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $399 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$71 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $376 | 73¢ | 89¢ | +$82 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics | No | $377 | 81¢ | 98¢ | +$77 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Politics | No | $405 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$40 |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Politics | No | $345 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$79 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $400 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$15 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $400 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$13 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $401 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $324 | 60¢ | 74¢ | +$73 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $331 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$57 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $106 | 15¢ | 55¢ | +$280 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $594 | 57¢ | 36¢ | -$221 |
 Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $374 | 74¢ | 72¢ | -$13 |
 Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | No | $333 | 65¢ | 67¢ | +$8 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $306 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$20 |
 Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $315 | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tech | No | $85 | 27¢ | 99¢ | +$228 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $302 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $271 | 60¢ | 66¢ | +$25 |
| Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $283 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $250 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$25 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Politics | No | $252 | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$10 |
 Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $241 | 46¢ | 48¢ | +$11 |
 Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $145 | 58¢ | 99¢ | +$104 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $267 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$31 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $245 | 45¢ | 40¢ | -$30 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $223 | 51¢ | 49¢ | -$11 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $228 | 38¢ | 34¢ | -$24 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Tech | No | $170 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$29 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?Politics | Yes | $232 | 45¢ | 38¢ | -$36 |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Politics | No | $309 | 62¢ | 39¢ | -$117 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $254 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$67 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $191 | 48¢ | 46¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $226 | 37¢ | 28¢ | -$52 |
 Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $146 | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $46 | 27¢ | 89¢ | +$103 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $190 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$55 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $99 | 4.7¢ | 6.3¢ | +$35 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $99 | 2.3¢ | 3.0¢ | +$32 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $99 | 4.3¢ | 5.7¢ | +$31 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Politics | No | $131 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 28¢ | 89¢ | +$89 |
| Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | No | $91 | 58¢ | 78¢ | +$31 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $72 | 1.0¢ | 1.7¢ | +$50 |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be less than 1 hour?Tech | No | $93 | 74¢ | 96¢ | +$27 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $101 | 2.8¢ | 2.6¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?Politics | Yes | $66 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$5 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $72 | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $117 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$54 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 36¢ | 24¢ | -$31 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $71 | 5.0¢ | 4.3¢ | -$10 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $119 | 24¢ | 11¢ | -$65 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $85 | 14¢ | 8.8¢ | -$33 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $62 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$10 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $99 | 18¢ | 7.5¢ | -$58 |
 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $72 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$31 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $51 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$12 |
 Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $72 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$36 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $51 | 84¢ | 60¢ | -$15 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | Yes | $45 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$14 |
 Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $7 | 1.7¢ | 2.1¢ | +$2 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 29¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 75¢ | 9.0¢ | -$53 |
 Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 39¢ | +$3 |
 Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?Culture | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 40¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 68¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$18 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 11¢ | 1.3¢ | -$9 |
 Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Politics | YesResolved | $71 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
 Will Taylor Burks be the MO-05 Republican nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?Politics | YesResolved | $94 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
 Will Cisco say "Tariff" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $300 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
 Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Politics | NoResolved | $231 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$231 |
 Will Amanda Hollowell be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?Politics | NoResolved | $146 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$146 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $123 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$123 |
 Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics | NoResolved | $184 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$184 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | YesResolved | $503 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$503 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $100 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?Politics | NoResolved | $126 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $503 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$503 |
| Will Joyce Marie Griggs be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |