← Whale Watch

immanuelcan

Predicting since Dec 20252,191 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $48K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $20K across 3 Premier League markets.

Biggest hit: +$17K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$81990¢94¢+$29
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$48989¢92¢+$16
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$49493¢94¢+$7
Ramp IPO before 2027?TechNo$40982¢92¢+$48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$42315¢14¢-$1
Vanta IPO before 2027?TechNo$38284¢91¢+$29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$18131¢69¢+$228
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$38692¢94¢+$8
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$37691¢95¢+$15
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$36591¢95¢+$15
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsMLBSt. Louis Cardinals$40947¢43¢-$39
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?TechNo$33684¢92¢+$31
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?PoliticsYes$34183¢89¢+$24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$683.2¢17¢+$293
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$33885¢91¢+$20
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBNo$32290¢99¢+$31
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?TechNo$30276¢84¢+$32
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$28128¢33¢+$51
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30788¢95¢+$23
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesMLBNew York Yankees$27555¢60¢+$23
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$28891¢94¢+$8
Rippling IPO before 2027?TechNo$28784¢85¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?PoliticsNo$22761¢76¢+$55
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$2723.0¢3.0¢+$6
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$18173¢99¢+$63
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$23392¢95¢+$8
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?PoliticsNo$26186¢80¢-$21
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?PoliticsYes$20467¢77¢+$29
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLBNo$23489¢89¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$20792¢97¢+$13
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$21191¢93¢+$5
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLNo$21396¢94¢-$5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?PoliticsYes$19689¢94¢+$10
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$19539¢41¢+$8
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?TechNo$16885¢98¢+$27
Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?PoliticsNo$18792¢93¢+$3
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$21558¢51¢-$28
Celonis IPO before 2027?TechNo$18084¢88¢+$7
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$16482¢89¢+$13
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?PoliticsNo$16090¢95¢+$9
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$16091¢94¢+$5
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?TechNo$18090¢81¢-$18
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$15981¢83¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?PoliticsYes$15792¢94¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?PoliticsYes$15893¢94¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the TX-13 House seat?PoliticsYes$15591¢94¢+$4
Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$14380¢85¢+$10
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$9931¢47¢+$53
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1232.0¢2.4¢+$25
Deel IPO before 2027?TechNo$11374¢96¢+$33
Glean IPO before 2027?TechNo$13586¢91¢+$8
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$12386¢100¢+$19
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?PoliticsYes$13264¢69¢+$9
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?PoliticsYes$12175¢85¢+$16
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsYes$40340¢14¢-$266
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?TechNo$13484¢86¢+$3
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$1304.0¢4.2¢+$6
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$11689¢99¢+$14
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$12281¢84¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?PoliticsNo$12085¢85¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?PoliticsNo$11079¢85¢+$7
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?PoliticsYes$11193¢96¢+$4
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$10989¢94¢+$5
Brex IPO before 2027?TechNo$10189¢99¢+$10
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?PoliticsYes$9269¢82¢+$17
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?PoliticsYes$10282¢86¢+$5
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$10494¢96¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?PoliticsNo$10386¢88¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10293¢95¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$10192¢95¢+$3
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$10093¢97¢+$4
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10192¢94¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?PoliticsYes$10192¢94¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$10091¢93¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10091¢92¢+$2
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1091.0¢0.9¢-$10
Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?PoliticsYes$9774¢75¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?PoliticsYes$9788¢89¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?PoliticsYes$9486¢87¢+$1
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?MLBYes$10521¢19¢-$11
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$9191¢93¢+$2
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?CryptoNo$2121¢87¢+$66
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$802.0¢2.1¢+$6
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?PoliticsYes$8189¢94¢+$4
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$604.0¢5.7¢+$25
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$804.0¢4.0¢+$1
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechYes$8417¢16¢-$3
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$7893¢94¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?PoliticsNo$7485¢90¢+$4
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$7492¢96¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$7887¢85¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-26 House seat?PoliticsYes$7391¢94¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?PoliticsYes$7974¢69¢-$5
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?TechNo$6485¢95¢+$7
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1020.9¢0.7¢-$32
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$7563¢59¢-$5
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$6892¢94¢+$2
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$533.0¢3.9¢+$16
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1981.6¢0.5¢-$129
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$2814¢35¢+$40

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$48K
Premier League-$32K
NHL-$16K
MLB+$11K
MLS-$7.1K
Other sports-$6.9K
Culture+$5.2K
La Liga-$4.8K
Hockey (other)-$4.2K
Soccer (other)+$3.9K
Champions League+$3.0K
Finance-$1.9K
Biggest hit
+$17K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$12K
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$304d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$314d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$304d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$304d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Muchelle Ugenti-Rita be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$254d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Jason Duey be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$54d ago