pauldfourteen

Predicting since Mar 202627 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$33	61¢	100¢	+$22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$15	36¢	100¢	+$26
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech	YesResolved	$30	74¢	100¢	+$10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics	NoResolved	$19	51¢	100¢	+$19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics	NoResolved	$20	74¢	100¢	+$7
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Economy	NoResolved	$5	75¢	100¢	+$2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics	NoResolved	$10	47¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?Economy	NoResolved	$22	14¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics	YesResolved	$19	35¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$3	44¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech	YesResolved	$1	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech	YesResolved	$1	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics	NoResolved	$25	93¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?Economy	YesResolved	$2	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?Economy	YesResolved	$14	50¢	0.0¢	-$14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$2	39¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech	YesResolved	$2	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics	NoResolved	$35	87¢	0.0¢	-$35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?Finance	UpResolved	$5	37¢	0.0¢	-$5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$10	85¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Economy-$39

Tech+$6

Finance-$5

Politics-$1

Biggest hit

+$17

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Toughest beat

-$2

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?

Recent moves

Bought No · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$103mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$153mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$33mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$93mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$53mo ago
Cashed out No · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$193mo ago
Bought No · Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$53mo ago
Sold No · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$63mo ago
Sold Yes · Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?$03mo ago
Sold Yes · Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?$03mo ago
Sold Yes · Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?$03mo ago
Bought No · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$103mo ago