 Will the US lose jobs in July?Economy | No | $558 | 70¢ | 96¢ | +$210 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $592 | 74¢ | 82¢ | +$66 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?Economy | No | $627 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$27 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $498 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$63 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Economy | No | $522 | 60¢ | 64¢ | +$35 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Economy | No | $544 | 71¢ | 61¢ | -$73 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $272 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $244 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$11 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $383 | 71¢ | 47¢ | -$129 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $169 | 57¢ | 80¢ | +$65 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $290 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$75 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Politics | No | $197 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $177 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$17 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | Yes | $119 | 23¢ | 34¢ | +$52 |
 Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $143 | 82¢ | 98¢ | +$27 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $76 | 42¢ | 86¢ | +$79 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $184 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$40 |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $178 | 51¢ | 41¢ | -$35 |
 Will Trump Airport become law this year?Politics | No | $134 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $112 | 14¢ | 17¢ | +$24 |
 Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $81 | 49¢ | 73¢ | +$39 |
 Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics | No | $110 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
 Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $81 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$21 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $83 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$5 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $63 | 71¢ | 98¢ | +$24 |
 Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $40 | 40¢ | 84¢ | +$44 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $84 | 5.3¢ | 4.9¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $76 | 83¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $81 | 64¢ | 56¢ | -$11 |
 Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?MLB | No | $57 | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$10 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $307 | 32¢ | 6.5¢ | -$245 |
 Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics | No | $33 | 55¢ | 99¢ | +$27 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 49¢ | 46¢ | -$5 |
 Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? eSports | No | $54 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $48 | 9.0¢ | 11¢ | +$8 |
 Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | No | $50 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $41 | 72¢ | 95¢ | +$13 |
 Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture | No | $48 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $46 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Politics | No | $46 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Tech | No | $43 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | No | $40 | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$5 |
 Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics | No | $35 | 47¢ | 61¢ | +$10 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $19 | 13¢ | 32¢ | +$26 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $50 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$8 |
 Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $33 | 46¢ | 52¢ | +$4 |
 Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?Culture | No | $20 | 32¢ | 56¢ | +$16 |
 Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $44 | 74¢ | 57¢ | -$10 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $26 | 78¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $122 | 27¢ | 7.0¢ | -$91 |
 Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $18 | 64¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $45 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$18 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $129 | 62¢ | 13¢ | -$102 |
 Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Politics | No | $23 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
| Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $37 | 35¢ | 23¢ | -$13 |
 Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Culture | Yes | $55 | 17¢ | 7.4¢ | -$31 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 35¢ | 51¢ | +$7 |
| Will there be between 85m and 90m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Politics | No | $20 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $52 | 19¢ | 7.5¢ | -$31 |
| Will there be less than 85m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Politics | No | $19 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?Economy | Yes | $16 | 3.9¢ | 4.7¢ | +$3 |
 Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?Economy | No | $21 | 80¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | No | $15 | 58¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $1 | 8.3¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
| Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$6 |
 Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | No | $11 | 55¢ | 85¢ | +$6 |
 Will Little Joe escape again?Culture | No | $15 | 98¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | No | $16 | 85¢ | 75¢ | -$2 |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $10 | 36¢ | 50¢ | +$4 |
 Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $154 | 28¢ | 2.5¢ | -$140 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?Economy | Yes | $11 | 2.7¢ | 2.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $11 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Government shutdown by October 1?Politics | Yes | $9 | 35¢ | 47¢ | +$3 |
| Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?MLB | Yes | $5 | 22¢ | 46¢ | +$6 |
 Will Ariana Grande feature Doja Cat on Petal?Culture | Yes | $1 | 3.5¢ | 50¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $11 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $77 | 47¢ | 6.5¢ | -$67 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $43 | 19¢ | 4.5¢ | -$33 |
 Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $47 | 39¢ | 7.5¢ | -$38 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $40 | 31¢ | 6.7¢ | -$32 |
 Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | No | $8 | 66¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | No | $8 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
 Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager?MLB | Yes | $5 | 29¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $11 | 26¢ | 15¢ | -$4 |
 Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 60¢ | 58¢ | -$0 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $6 | 34¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
| Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | No | $6 | 72¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $12 | 3.0¢ | 1.6¢ | -$6 |
 Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $4 | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 8.0¢ | 4.1¢ | -$5 |
 Will Josh Fryday win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics | No | $18 | 17¢ | 4.7¢ | -$14 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 32¢ | 5.5¢ | -$22 |
 Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 54¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.4¢ | 7.2¢ | +$2 |
Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$3041d ago
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Cashed out No · Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$02d ago
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