 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $912 | 47¢ | 79¢ | +$600 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $478 | 31¢ | 80¢ | +$751 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $700 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$90 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $498 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$94 |
 Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $436 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$60 |
 Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $485 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$9 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $68 | 13¢ | 91¢ | +$405 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $281 | 42¢ | 63¢ | +$144 |
 Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $363 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$33 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $383 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $280 | 59¢ | 76¢ | +$78 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $271 | 64¢ | 82¢ | +$75 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $77 | 11¢ | 49¢ | +$256 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $244 | 41¢ | 56¢ | +$85 |
| Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $282 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$18 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $272 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$26 |
 Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Other sports | Yes | $226 | 37¢ | 48¢ | +$69 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $271 | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $190 | 54¢ | 69¢ | +$53 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | Yes | $260 | 85¢ | 77¢ | -$24 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $333 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$101 |
 Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Tech | Yes | $292 | 45¢ | 36¢ | -$60 |
 Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $233 | 73¢ | 70¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?Politics | No | $210 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Politics | No | $213 | 35¢ | 35¢ | -$2 |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $360 | 28¢ | 16¢ | -$152 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Politics | No | $197 | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
| Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $240 | 43¢ | 36¢ | -$38 |
| Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $187 | 31¢ | 33¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $192 | 48¢ | 48¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Politics | No | $185 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $154 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$33 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $154 | 57¢ | 69¢ | +$32 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $146 | 29¢ | 36¢ | +$35 |
 Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics | No | $130 | 67¢ | 84¢ | +$33 |
 Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Culture | Yes | $143 | 60¢ | 68¢ | +$18 |
| Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Politics | No | $147 | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump Airport become law this year?Politics | No | $134 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
 Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Politics | Yes | $122 | 37¢ | 43¢ | +$21 |
 Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | No | $116 | 57¢ | 70¢ | +$26 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | Yes | $112 | 60¢ | 76¢ | +$28 |
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $119 | 49¢ | 57¢ | +$20 |
 Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?Weather | No | $127 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$7 |
 Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Culture | Yes | $118 | 48¢ | 52¢ | +$9 |
 Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $118 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $121 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 49¢ | 85¢ | +$47 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Tech | No | $105 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
| Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $91 | 66¢ | 77¢ | +$16 |
| Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $89 | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$16 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $92 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$13 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $19 | 13¢ | 73¢ | +$84 |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $80 | 53¢ | 67¢ | +$21 |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $95 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$3 |
 Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Economy | No | $93 | 65¢ | 68¢ | +$4 |
 Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $67 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$26 |
 Will the US add at least 200k jobs in September?Economy | No | $94 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?Economy | No | $79 | 77¢ | 90¢ | +$13 |
 Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $63 | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$25 |
| Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in September?Economy | No | $95 | 94¢ | 84¢ | -$10 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $112 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$28 |
 Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $29 | 9.2¢ | 27¢ | +$55 |
| Will Josh O'Connor be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $78 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
| Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $65 | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$17 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $88 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $82 | 61¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $90 | 49¢ | 44¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $76 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 25¢ | 30¢ | +$12 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $81 | 64¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $32 | 22¢ | 53¢ | +$45 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $71 | 8.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$4 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $72 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$3 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $68 | 67¢ | 72¢ | +$5 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $307 | 32¢ | 7.5¢ | -$235 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | Yes | $119 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$47 |
| Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $53 | 53¢ | 69¢ | +$16 |
 Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $61 | 49¢ | 53¢ | +$5 |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $50 | 25¢ | 32¢ | +$14 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $56 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$6 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Tech | Yes | $57 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $122 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$61 |
 Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? eSports | No | $54 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
| Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $50 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $80 | 26¢ | 19¢ | -$23 |
 Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $33 | 46¢ | 79¢ | +$24 |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | No | $50 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $295 | 37¢ | 7.0¢ | -$239 |
 Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $41 | 72¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | No | $57 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics | Yes | $27 | 20¢ | 38¢ | +$26 |
 Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Culture | No | $77 | 38¢ | 27¢ | -$24 |
 Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?MLB | No | $57 | 74¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?Politics | Yes | $24 | 16¢ | 36¢ | +$29 |
 Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $57 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
| Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $48 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $77 | 71¢ | 48¢ | -$25 |
 Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in September 2026?Tech | No | $49 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?Tech | No | $49 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?Culture | Yes | $48 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
Cashed out No · Will Core CPI YoY be 2.0% or less in August?$2713h ago
Cashed out No · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?$1.8K13h ago