← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Nov 2025460 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.1K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $2.8K riding on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$21069¢94¢+$76
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$17072¢100¢+$66
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$20043¢44¢+$2
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$10037¢36¢-$3
Will PayPal say "Regulation" or "Regulator" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?MentionsYes$15075¢44¢-$62
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July?MentionsNo$2231¢87¢+$39
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$502.7¢2.9¢+$3
Will Trump say "Uranium" in July?MentionsNo$5659¢53¢-$6
Will Trump say "Cat" in July?MentionsNo$3032¢53¢+$19
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$108.7¢21¢+$14
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?MentionsYes$2086¢84¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$129.9¢12¢+$2
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?MentionsNo$335¢69¢+$3
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$1210.0¢4.3¢-$7
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$480¢56¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$1210¢1.4¢-$10
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?CultureYesResolved$6044¢0.0¢-$60
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$6037¢0.0¢-$60
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$258.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$264.9¢0.0¢-$26
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$87.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3654¢0.0¢-$36
Will Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNoResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?PoliticsYesResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Warrior" this week?MentionsYesResolved$2554¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1524¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump say "Space Force" at Defense and Innovation Summit?MentionsYesResolved$666¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?MentionsNoResolved$734¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?MentionsNoResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?MentionsYesResolved$3048¢0.0¢-$30
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?CultureYesResolved$818¢0.0¢-$8
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?PoliticsYesResolved$74.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?MentionsNoResolved$11084¢0.0¢-$110
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15057¢0.0¢-$150
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2522¢0.0¢-$25
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$6049¢0.0¢-$60
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.8K96¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$711¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?WeatherYesResolved$2342¢0.0¢-$23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2513¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2513¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2513¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$44.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?MentionsNoResolved$3531¢0.0¢-$35
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$2534¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2512¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1526¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump say "Pathetic" in July?MentionsNoResolved$229.0¢0.0¢-$22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump name "Hillary" in April?MentionsNoResolved$773¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?MentionsYesResolved$3050¢0.0¢-$30
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Outside" this week?MentionsYesResolved$276.5¢0.0¢-$27
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?CultureYesResolved$5519¢0.0¢-$55
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$107.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$3013¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during June 24 Rally?MentionsYesResolved$1560¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$71.7¢0.0¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$3.1K
Mentions+$145
Culture-$138
Tech-$91
Finance-$56
Crypto-$54
Economy-$38
Weather-$9
Biggest hit
+$365
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Toughest beat
-$720
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will PayPal say "Regulation" or "Regulator" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?$1522h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?$205h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?$35h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$3382d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$502d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1703d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$1603d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?$1097d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Uranium" in July?$258d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$1049d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Nuclear" 15+ times during Speech to the Nation?$599d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Leavitt say "Iran" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$409d ago