 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.0¢ | 2.8¢ | +$9 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 1.2¢ | 1.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.7¢ | 1.1¢ | +$2 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$2 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$0 |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $79 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $244 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$244 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US strike Iraq next?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $59 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 60 and 70?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $81 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$11d ago