← Whale Watch
matematemate
Down $26K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.
Right now: $2.8K riding on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?.
Biggest hit: +$12K on Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $2.8K | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$707 |
 Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?Culture | NoResolved | $308 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$40 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $64 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics-$26K
Finance+$246
Golf-$65
Culture+$40
Mentions+$3
Champions League+$0
Biggest hit
+$12K
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$25K
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Recent moves
Sold Yes · Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$242mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$02mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$242mo ago
Cashed out No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$812mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$992mo ago
Cashed out No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1412mo ago- Cashed out No · Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$4942mo ago
Cashed out No · 1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?$6842mo ago
Cashed out No · Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$2.3K2mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$153mo ago
Sold Yes · US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$283mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$603mo ago