← Whale Watch

squishyturtle

Predicting since Oct 2025120 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.3K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $1.3K riding on "Avatar: Fire and Ash" total domestic gross by January 31?.

Biggest hit: +$385K on Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$1290¢95¢+$1
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?TechNoResolved$591¢100¢+$0
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?TechNoResolved$593¢100¢+$0
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$594¢97¢+$0
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$398¢90¢-$0
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$48431¢0.0¢-$484
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$388¢0.0¢-$3
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$60643¢0.0¢-$606
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?PoliticsNoResolved$382¢0.0¢-$3
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$79047¢0.0¢-$790
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBANoResolved$595¢0.0¢-$5
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$23524¢0.0¢-$235
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?CultureNoResolved$389¢0.0¢-$3
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$55129¢0.0¢-$551
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$385¢0.0¢-$3
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?CultureYesResolved$1.3K48¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$31545¢0.0¢-$315
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$31515¢0.0¢-$315
Rams vs. SeahawksNFLRamsResolved$79842¢0.0¢-$798
Raptors vs. MagicNBARaptorsResolved$99045¢0.0¢-$990
OpenAI browser by October 31?TechNoResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$594¢0.0¢-$5
Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorBoxingTateResolved$581¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$4.3K
Crypto+$2.2K
Culture-$1.2K
NFL-$898
NBA-$365
Tech-$346
Economy+$40
Boxing-$5
Formula 1-$4
Finance+$0
Champions League+$0
Weather+$0
Biggest hit
+$385K
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$388K
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$21mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$31mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$51mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$101mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$24mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$34mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$44mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$54mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$64mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$3674mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$184mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$84mo ago