squishyturtle

Predicting since Oct 2025120 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.3K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $1.3K riding on "Avatar: Fire and Ash" total domestic gross by January 31?.

Biggest hit: +$385K on Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$12	90¢	97¢	+$1
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Tech	NoResolved	$5	91¢	100¢	+$0
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech	NoResolved	$5	93¢	100¢	+$0
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1	No	$5	94¢	99¢	+$0
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1	No	$3	98¢	98¢	+$0
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Politics	YesResolved	$484	31¢	0.0¢	-$484
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3	88¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics	NoResolved	$606	43¢	0.0¢	-$606
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Politics	NoResolved	$3	82¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$790	47¢	0.0¢	-$790
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA	NoResolved	$5	95¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	NoResolved	$235	24¢	0.0¢	-$235
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?Culture	NoResolved	$3	89¢	0.0¢	-$3
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$551	29¢	0.0¢	-$551
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$3	85¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Culture	YesResolved	$1.3K	48¢	0.0¢	-$1.3K
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto	NoResolved	$315	45¢	0.0¢	-$315
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Crypto	NoResolved	$315	15¢	0.0¢	-$315
Rams vs. SeahawksNFL	RamsResolved	$798	42¢	0.0¢	-$798
Raptors vs. MagicNBA	RaptorsResolved	$990	45¢	0.0¢	-$990
OpenAI browser by October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$3	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$3
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	94¢	0.0¢	-$5
Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorBoxing	TateResolved	$5	81¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$4.3K

Crypto+$2.2K

Culture-$1.2K

NFL-$898

NBA-$365

Tech-$346

Economy+$40

Boxing-$5

Formula 1-$4

Finance+$0

Champions League+$0

Weather+$0

Biggest hit

+$385K

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$388K

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$23mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$33mo ago
Cashed out No · Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$53mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$103mo ago
Cashed out No · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$25mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$35mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$45mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$55mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$65mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$3675mo ago
Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$186mo ago
Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$86mo ago