Tnothcote

Predicting since Apr 202648 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.8K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $1.2K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$1.2K	60¢	76¢	+$308
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?NFL	Yes	$320	32¢	28¢	-$41
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL	Yes	$112	8.0¢	8.5¢	+$7
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL	Yes	$23	3.8¢	4.3¢	+$4
Will USC Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?College Football	Yes	$6	9.5¢	9.9¢	+$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$5	2.9¢	2.7¢	-$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	52¢	57¢	+$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$1	21¢	30¢	+$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	53¢	73¢	+$0
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL	Yes	$1	2.9¢	4.0¢	+$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	12¢	14¢	+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$1	53¢	63¢	+$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	52¢	61¢	+$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	62¢	71¢	+$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	41¢	42¢	+$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	57¢	57¢	+$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	91¢	92¢	+$0
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Economy	YesResolved	$6	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?Economy	YesResolved	$12	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$100	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Economy	YesResolved	$403	11¢	0.0¢	-$403
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?Economy	YesResolved	$90	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$90
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?Finance	DownResolved	$0	0.0¢	0.0¢	+$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Politics	NoResolved	$121	19¢	0.0¢	-$121
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Economy	YesResolved	$500	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$500
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Economy	YesResolved	$66	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$66
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?Economy	YesResolved	$1	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?Economy	YesResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 7?Finance	DownResolved	$0	0.0¢	0.0¢	+$0
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?Economy	YesResolved	$1	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$4.8K

Economy-$1.1K

NFL-$30

Finance+$6

College Football+$0

Biggest hit

+$1.6K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$137

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?$1010d ago
Bought Yes · Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?$1010d ago
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$5919d ago
Bought Yes · Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$119d ago
Bought No · Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$119d ago
Bought Yes · Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?$30625d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5001mo ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5001mo ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$6041mo ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$2011mo ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$2681mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$11mo ago