← Whale Watch

notmarketmaker

Predicting since Jun 20268,620 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $9.2K on Crypto markets since Jun 2026.

Right now: $3.2K across 3 World Cup markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$79822¢16¢-$208
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$54979¢84¢+$33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$39062¢57¢-$29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$19999¢98¢-$1
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$14399¢99¢-$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$2223¢28¢+$5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$1311¢10¢-$2
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$132.1¢1.5¢-$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$80.6¢0.7¢+$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$396¢100¢+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5354¢0.0¢-$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$943¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$454¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$468¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$748¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$7161¢0.0¢-$71
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$264¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$937¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$842¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$544¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$939¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$52862¢0.0¢-$528
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5824¢0.0¢-$58
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3036¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1518¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$3119¢0.0¢-$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$3366¢0.0¢-$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$955¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2739¢0.0¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$226¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11535¢0.0¢-$115
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$251¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$641¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$748¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$21034¢0.0¢-$210
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1268¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$460¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$233¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$8527¢0.0¢-$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10858¢0.0¢-$108
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$265¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$3359¢0.0¢-$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$561¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$259¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1852¢0.0¢-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$626¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$750¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$10082¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$339¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$736¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$625¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$558¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1117¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$255¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1133¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$253¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1051¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1853¢0.0¢-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$736¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$17967¢0.0¢-$179
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$654¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$442¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$344¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1754¢0.0¢-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$840¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1458¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1334¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1226¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$228¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2037¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$640¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$9839¢0.0¢-$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1326¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1420¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2426¢0.0¢-$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1329¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$8836¢0.0¢-$88
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$562¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$344¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$11745¢0.0¢-$117
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$250¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$455¢0.0¢-$4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$25324¢0.0¢-$253

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$9.2K
World Cup-$3.5K
Politics-$175
Economy-$29
Tech-$8
Biggest hit
+$748
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Toughest beat
-$753
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$161m ago
  • Cashed out Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$61m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$162m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$162m ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$52m ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$33m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$24m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$164m ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$24m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$148m ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$510m ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$233m ago