thefourthbyte

Predicting since Jun 202553 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	22¢	100¢	+$4
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Politics	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Trump x Elon talk before August?Politics	YesResolved	$1	22¢	0.0¢	-$1
German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 16?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	19¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ripple ETF approved in 2025?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Politics	YesResolved	$1	24¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	78¢	0.0¢	-$1
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Politics	NoResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	51¢	0.0¢	-$1
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	18¢	0.0¢	-$1
US forces in Iran in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Doge ETF approved in 2025?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	28¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Politics	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$16

Crypto-$3

Soccer (other)-$1

Mentions-$1

Biggest hit

+$7

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?

Toughest beat

-$1

Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?

Recent moves

Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$14mo ago
Cashed out No · Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?$14mo ago
Cashed out No · Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$14mo ago
Cashed out No · Von der Leyen out in 2025?$14mo ago
Cashed out No · Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?$14mo ago
Cashed out No · Kraken IPO in 2025?$14mo ago
Cashed out No · US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$14mo ago
Cashed out No · Solana all time high before 2026?$14mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?$14mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$24mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$24mo ago
Cashed out No · Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$84mo ago