← Whale Watch

Frosen

Predicting since Oct 20241,465 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $17K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $7.3K riding on US strikes Iran by...?.

Biggest hit: +$12K on Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureNo$3.9K85¢95¢+$429
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$59958¢51¢-$70
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$19665¢100¢+$104
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$227.9¢100¢+$253
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$12053¢51¢-$5
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$1094.1¢3.5¢-$16
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$7897¢93¢-$4
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2698¢99¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$96.0¢12¢+$10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1798¢100¢+$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$429¢80¢+$8
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?CultureNoResolved$887¢100¢+$1
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$998¢99¢+$0
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$698¢99¢+$0
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?PoliticsNoResolved$295¢100¢+$0
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1119¢0.0¢-$11
Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands on Friday?PoliticsNoResolved$403.2¢0.0¢-$40
Will JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?MentionsNoResolved$10514¢0.0¢-$105
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$44.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$17017¢0.0¢-$170
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$27027¢0.0¢-$270
Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?MentionsYesResolved$11954¢0.0¢-$119
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2227¢0.0¢-$22
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?EconomyYesResolved$5615¢0.0¢-$56
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7.3K73¢0.0¢-$7.3K
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$166.4¢0.0¢-$16
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$1202.5¢0.0¢-$120
Will Trump say "Shit" this week? (August 25 - 31)MentionsNoResolved$13968¢0.0¢-$139
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in August?PoliticsYesResolved$372.0¢0.0¢-$37
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3099.0¢0.0¢-$309
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$416¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon apologize to Trump before August?PoliticsYesResolved$2014.2¢0.0¢-$201
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?PoliticsNoResolved$56077¢0.0¢-$560
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$241.0¢0.0¢-$24
Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$1630¢0.0¢-$16
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$40.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?EconomyNoResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Cynthia" or "Lummis" during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?MentionsYesResolved$311.4¢0.0¢-$31
Will Trump say "Tariff" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?MentionsNoResolved$20126¢0.0¢-$201
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$31311¢0.0¢-$313
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$28532¢0.0¢-$285
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?MentionsNoResolved$1410.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$707.1¢0.0¢-$70
Will MrBeast say "Surprise" during his next video?MentionsYesResolved$6771¢0.0¢-$67
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$183.0¢0.0¢-$18
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?PoliticsNoResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$1752.5¢0.0¢-$175
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$5422¢0.0¢-$54
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?MentionsNoResolved$313.3¢0.0¢-$31
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?MentionsNoResolved$2622¢0.0¢-$26
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?TechYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?PoliticsYesResolved$160.7¢0.0¢-$16
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?TechYesResolved$603.0¢0.0¢-$60
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?PoliticsNoResolved$921¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump's UN speech be longer than 45 minutes?PoliticsNoResolved$1768.3¢0.0¢-$176
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$175.0¢0.0¢-$17
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?MentionsNoResolved$2386.0¢0.0¢-$238
Will Trump say "Jeffrey Epstein" in October?MentionsYesResolved$1431¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?MentionsYesResolved$4623¢0.0¢-$46
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$8517¢0.0¢-$85
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 14?eSportsYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$65.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?PoliticsNoResolved$3980¢0.0¢-$39
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?TechYesResolved$2946.1¢0.0¢-$294
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$21018¢0.0¢-$210
Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more? TechYesResolved$23.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?MentionsYesResolved$25313¢0.0¢-$253
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3226¢0.0¢-$32
Kash Patel out by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$241.6¢0.0¢-$24
Will Trump say "Seven Wars" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?MentionsNoResolved$91.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?MentionsNoResolved$1.1K42¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Li Bin be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?TechYesResolved$120.7¢0.0¢-$12
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?EconomyYesResolved$311.3¢0.0¢-$31
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K59¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?PoliticsYesResolved$34.1¢0.0¢-$3
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?PoliticsYesResolved$814.0¢0.0¢-$81
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Submarine" during events with South Korean president on August 25?MentionsNoResolved$23316¢0.0¢-$233
Speed Chess QF: Lazavik vs NiemannOther sportsNiemannResolved$7665¢0.0¢-$76
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #2 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$192.5¢0.0¢-$19
Will Bryan Johnson say "Erection" while tripping balls?MentionsYesResolved$3876¢0.0¢-$38
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?PoliticsYesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$498.1¢0.0¢-$49
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$6030¢0.0¢-$60
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in October?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?PoliticsNoResolved$7238¢0.0¢-$72
Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?MentionsNoResolved$2711¢0.0¢-$27
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (October 7 - 12)MentionsYesResolved$1510.0¢0.0¢-$15
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNoResolved$34122¢0.0¢-$341
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?EconomyYesResolved$1726.0¢0.0¢-$172
Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?MentionsNoResolved$2967¢0.0¢-$29
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?CryptoYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in October?PoliticsYesResolved$1034.1¢0.0¢-$103
Will Trump say "Syria" during events with Turkish president on September 25?MentionsNoResolved$30541¢0.0¢-$305
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on October 31?TechYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?CultureNoResolved$4611¢0.0¢-$46
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in November?PoliticsYesResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$13111¢0.0¢-$131
Will Trump say "Antifa" this week? (September 22-28)MentionsYesResolved$17179¢0.0¢-$171

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$17K
Crypto+$15K
Tech+$12K
Finance+$6.1K
Culture+$6.1K
Mentions+$3.8K
Economy+$523
Weather-$340
Other+$241
Other sports+$145
eSports+$131
Formula 1+$55
Biggest hit
+$12K
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Toughest beat
-$10K
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?