| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $112 | 30¢ | 65¢ | +$130 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $236 | 56¢ | 54¢ | -$10 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $108 | 24¢ | 38¢ | +$61 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $112 | 27¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $123 | 71¢ | 63¢ | -$15 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $351 | 44¢ | 14¢ | -$244 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | Yes | $96 | 50¢ | 44¢ | -$12 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $66 | 1.0¢ | 1.1¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $66 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $57 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$15 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $84 | 88¢ | 55¢ | -$31 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $46 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$2 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 24¢ | 36¢ | +$14 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Politics | Yes | $78 | 15¢ | 7.5¢ | -$39 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $48 | 69¢ | 56¢ | -$9 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $17 | 19¢ | 42¢ | +$21 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $26 | 33¢ | 37¢ | +$2 |
 Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 44¢ | 97¢ | +$15 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $41 | 74¢ | 47¢ | -$15 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $64 | 63¢ | 25¢ | -$39 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $39 | 0.9¢ | 0.5¢ | -$15 |
| Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?Weather | No | $19 | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $22 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 22¢ | 25¢ | +$2 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $17 | 68¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in July?Finance | No | $14 | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 63¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $25 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 42¢ | +$7 |
 Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 18¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $112 | 39¢ | 5.5¢ | -$96 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 58¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $16 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | No | $13 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | -$20 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | Yes | $28 | 22¢ | 10¢ | -$15 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 7.4¢ | 95¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
 Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?Finance | No | $5 | 23¢ | 56¢ | +$7 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $18 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$6 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $90 | 54¢ | 7.0¢ | -$79 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $13 | 28¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | Yes | $16 | 36¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $7 | 23¢ | 36¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $8 | 58¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
 Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $155 | 80¢ | 5.0¢ | -$145 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $9 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 29¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
 Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 96¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 66¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Politics | No | $4 | 39¢ | 78¢ | +$4 |
 Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchCrypto | Yes | $8 | 58¢ | 53¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 61¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 13¢ | 9.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 34¢ | 25¢ | -$3 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 27¢ | +$3 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Crypto | No | $8 | 68¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in July 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 33¢ | +$3 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 71¢ | 34¢ | -$7 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $8 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
| Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in July?Crypto | No | $4 | 65¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 53¢ | 30¢ | -$4 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 61¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
 KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan BearsBaseball (other) | Doosan Bears | $5 | 55¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
| Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 74¢ | 29¢ | -$8 |
 Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $6 | 92¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 31¢ | 16¢ | -$5 |
| Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 80¢ | 27¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 37¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 38¢ | 5.8¢ | -$25 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 49¢ | +$3 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 5.8¢ | 3.8¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 9.0¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?MLB | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $33 | 13¢ | 1.5¢ | -$29 |
 Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?Politics | Yes | $4 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 5.0¢ | 1.1¢ | -$13 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $53 | 38¢ | 2.6¢ | -$49 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$0 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 75¢ | 21¢ | -$8 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 8.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 7.0¢ | 6.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 42¢ | 7.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 46¢ | 8.6¢ | -$13 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
Cashed out No · Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of July 20 2026?$332d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$23d ago
Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$703d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$13d ago
Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$63d ago