 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will another company be accused of insider trading?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 20?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 29?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump kiss by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Binance be accused of insider trading?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?Crypto | NoResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 29?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$218d ago