 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tech | No | $20 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $19 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $10 | 64¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?Tech | No | $9 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.125T by September 30?Tech | No | $6 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 56¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $4 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $4 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $4 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 47¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 15¢ | 33¢ | +$1 |
 Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Politics | Yes | $1 | 27¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 59¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 33¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 59¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $1 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Other sports | YesResolved | $0 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Games Total: O/U 2.5eSports | OverResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 1?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 20?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will France vs. England end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$01d ago