 Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $22 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 91¢ | 83¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 45¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $6 | 49¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 57¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 45¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 27, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $5 | 65¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
 Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 53¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $6 | 62¢ | 41¢ | -$2 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
 Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Politics | Yes | $1 | 27¢ | 48¢ | +$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 28¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 20?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will France vs. England end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$31d ago
Sold No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$71d ago
Sold Yes · Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$51d ago