← Whale Watch

milize

Predicting since Aug 202312,584 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $10K on Politics markets since Aug 2023.

Right now: $1.8K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$331K on Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.8K77¢80¢+$66
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceYes$69815¢13¢-$98
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? WeatherNo$27190¢95¢+$13
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?PoliticsNo$22791¢99¢+$20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$12351¢56¢+$13
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$12048¢45¢-$9
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsNo$9999¢100¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$10348¢44¢-$10
Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next?NFLNo$7098¢96¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$6626¢27¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$11523¢12¢-$57
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027?CryptoNo$4188¢96¢+$4
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$3168¢92¢+$11
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsYes$5324¢16¢-$19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2811¢12¢+$3
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$919¢68¢+$22
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?NFLNo$3820¢15¢-$9
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3024¢20¢-$5
California voter ID referendum passes?PoliticsYes$939¢47¢+$2
Will Maxx Crosby play for Cincinnati Bengals next?NFLNo$990¢100¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$971¢68¢-$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1193¢57¢-$4
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$592¢99¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$487¢94¢+$0
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$388¢97¢+$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?PoliticsNo$278¢88¢+$0
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes$12.0¢3.0¢+$1
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsYes$452¢21¢-$2
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?PoliticsYes$313¢6.0¢-$1
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$376¢30¢-$2
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?TechYes$418¢6.0¢-$2
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$25.8¢3.4¢-$1
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$162¢100¢+$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$119¢20¢+$0
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $116 in May?FinanceYesResolved$15.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$826¢0.0¢-$8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$17034¢0.0¢-$170
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?PoliticsYesResolved$13.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Israel" 3+ times during Monday press conference?MentionsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?PoliticsYesResolved$210.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$369¢0.0¢-$3
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 1?FinanceYesResolved$3839¢0.0¢-$38
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?CultureYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?CultureNoResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during events with Japanese PM?MentionsYesResolved$1321¢0.0¢-$13
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?PoliticsYesResolved$3554¢0.0¢-$35
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?MentionsYesResolved$2843¢0.0¢-$28
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 16?WeatherNoResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?PoliticsYesResolved$722¢0.0¢-$7
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$16132¢0.0¢-$161
Will Kyler Murray play for Minnesota Vikings in 2026-27?NFLNoResolved$367¢0.0¢-$3
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?PoliticsYesResolved$29.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Taoiseach events?MentionsYesResolved$46.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$017¢0.0¢-$0
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 3%?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5719¢0.0¢-$57
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?PoliticsNoResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesEconomyNoResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Norway join the Board of Peace?PoliticsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Russia enter Khatnie by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$22045¢0.0¢-$220
Will "White House" be said at the Oscars?MentionsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 16?WeatherNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16?WeatherYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 16?WeatherYesResolved$815¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Toyota" during events with Japanese PM?MentionsYesResolved$1023¢0.0¢-$10
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?PoliticsGOPResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$04.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$4168¢0.0¢-$41
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$9054¢0.0¢-$90
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$18036¢0.0¢-$180
Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?PoliticsYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$02.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?PoliticsYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will Iran strike Georgia by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alvin Kamara be traded?NFLYesResolved$1026¢0.0¢-$10
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?FinanceYesResolved$1948¢0.0¢-$19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 16?WeatherNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17?WeatherYesResolved$612¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Tanker" during Ohio visit?MentionsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?PoliticsNoResolved$1387¢0.0¢-$13
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?WeatherNoResolved$1684¢0.0¢-$16
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?MentionsYesResolved$3062¢0.0¢-$30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 16?WeatherNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 16?WeatherNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$41668¢0.0¢-$416
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?PoliticsYesResolved$310.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 22?WeatherYesResolved$47.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$614¢0.0¢-$6
Will Aksel V. Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?PoliticsYesResolved$725¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 16?WeatherNoResolved$2651¢0.0¢-$26
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$55092¢0.0¢-$550

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$10K
Finance-$698
Culture-$455
Crypto+$356
Weather-$281
Mentions-$173
Other-$88
Economy+$77
Olympics+$76
Basketball (other)-$60
NFL-$53
Tech-$51
Biggest hit
+$331K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Toughest beat
-$36K
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$19d ago
  • Cashed out No · Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?$29d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$29d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$29d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$29d ago
  • Cashed out No · Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$39d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?$49d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?$59d ago
  • Cashed out No · Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$79d ago
  • Cashed out No · 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?$79d ago
  • Cashed out No · Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?$109d ago