← Whale Watch

iadme

Predicting since Nov 20241,413 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $37K on Crypto markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $715 riding on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$4.7K on Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$71592¢92¢-$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$39640¢69¢+$285
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$20078¢99¢+$55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$15015¢17¢+$15
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$7856¢68¢+$16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$9265¢60¢-$8
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechOpenAI$4317¢11¢-$16
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$3558¢40¢-$11
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7662¢0.0¢-$76
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$165.5¢0.0¢-$16
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?PoliticsNoResolved$6436¢0.0¢-$64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4949¢0.0¢-$49
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$14424¢0.0¢-$144
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5074¢0.0¢-$50
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$12781¢0.0¢-$127
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?CultureYesResolved$294.3¢0.0¢-$29
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$123.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?World CupYesResolved$1027¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$37K
Politics-$6.3K
Tech-$643
Weather-$347
NFL+$226
Mentions-$132
Other sports-$57
Culture-$51
Finance-$40
NBA-$23
NHL+$18
World Cup-$11
Biggest hit
+$4.7K
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Toughest beat
-$5.1K
Georgescu banned from Romania election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$10257m ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$481h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$4002h ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1863h ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2858h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$30011h ago
  • Sold No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$22211h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$15311h ago
  • Sold No · US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$7411h ago
  • Sold No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$23111h ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$30012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$205d ago