← Whale Watch

karlk

Predicting since Apr 2026245 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$4420¢52¢+$69
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$4620¢36¢+$35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$2018¢49¢+$35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$269.0¢18¢+$26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$2618¢22¢+$6
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$2716¢17¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$2112¢17¢+$8
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$217.0¢6.5¢-$2
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?CryptoYes$2518¢14¢-$6
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsYes$3016¢9.3¢-$13
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$1720¢18¢-$2
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsNo$2111¢6.5¢-$9
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2014¢8.5¢-$8
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$217.0¢3.7¢-$10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsYes$2021¢10¢-$10
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$2013¢6.0¢-$11
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?PoliticsYes$287.0¢2.2¢-$19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$2020¢8.5¢-$12
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$2119¢7.4¢-$13
Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?PoliticsYes$219.3¢3.6¢-$13
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$2120¢7.5¢-$13
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoYes$2721¢5.7¢-$20
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$2315¢4.8¢-$16
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$2019¢6.0¢-$14
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$457.0¢0.9¢-$39
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$299.0¢1.7¢-$24
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsNo$2020¢5.3¢-$15
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsYes$2521¢4.3¢-$20
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$198.3¢2.1¢-$14
Will Solana dip to $60 in July?CryptoYes$2410¢1.8¢-$20
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$4716¢1.3¢-$43
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$4520¢1.5¢-$42
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? PoliticsYes$1910¢1.7¢-$16
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$486.0¢0.4¢-$45
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$2220¢2.1¢-$20
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2219¢1.1¢-$20
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2112¢0.0¢-$21
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3019¢0.0¢-$30
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?NBANoResolved$4121¢0.0¢-$41
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?TechNoResolved$2918¢0.0¢-$29
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$2320¢0.0¢-$23
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$199.0¢0.0¢-$19
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4514¢0.0¢-$45
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4519¢0.0¢-$45
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2720¢0.0¢-$27
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$379.0¢0.0¢-$37
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1812¢0.0¢-$18
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?PoliticsNoResolved$309.0¢0.0¢-$30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$298.0¢0.0¢-$29
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$38.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4218¢0.0¢-$42
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?CryptoYesResolved$127.6¢0.0¢-$12
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$2019¢0.0¢-$20
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2221¢0.0¢-$22
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$2019¢0.0¢-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$4010¢0.0¢-$40
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$279.0¢0.0¢-$27
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$208.6¢0.0¢-$20
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2326¢0.0¢-$23
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?EconomyYesResolved$4718¢0.0¢-$47
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$199.3¢0.0¢-$19
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsNoResolved$3016¢0.0¢-$30
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2520¢0.0¢-$25
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2511¢0.0¢-$25
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?TennisYesResolved$268.9¢0.0¢-$26
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1812¢0.0¢-$18
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2113¢0.0¢-$21
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$459.0¢0.0¢-$45
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$4416¢0.0¢-$44
Will T1 win MSI 2026?eSportsYesResolved$2520¢0.0¢-$25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4721¢0.0¢-$47
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4415¢0.0¢-$44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?PoliticsYesResolved$4721¢0.0¢-$47
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4616¢0.0¢-$46
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2116¢0.0¢-$21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3025¢0.0¢-$30
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$4018¢0.0¢-$40
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2715¢0.0¢-$27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2313¢0.0¢-$23
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3920¢0.0¢-$39
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$258.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$218.0¢0.0¢-$21
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?TechDownResolved$4519¢0.0¢-$45
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4018¢0.0¢-$40
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$4420¢0.0¢-$44
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$309.0¢0.0¢-$30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3022¢0.0¢-$30
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2623¢0.0¢-$26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4510¢0.0¢-$45
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?PoliticsYesResolved$4510¢0.0¢-$45
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?TechYesResolved$2418¢0.0¢-$24
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?CultureYesResolved$4012¢0.0¢-$40
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?PoliticsNoResolved$418.5¢0.0¢-$41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$2016¢0.0¢-$20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$638.0¢0.0¢-$63
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4020¢0.0¢-$40
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2411¢0.0¢-$24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$2322¢0.0¢-$23

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$708
Politics+$325
Tennis+$321
Tech-$247
Economy-$128
Premier League-$95
UFC / MMA+$83
NHL-$57
Culture-$53
Weather-$51
eSports-$50
Finance-$48
Biggest hit
+$523
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$56
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$72d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$102d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$183d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$36d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$178d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$38d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$58d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$88d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$28d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$28d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$28d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$208d ago