 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$54 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | No | $1.4K | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$23 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $890 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$50 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $745 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$37 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $688 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$20 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $445 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$23 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $336 | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$54 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $339 | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$10 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Politics | No | $314 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$7 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?Politics | No | $275 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$12 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Politics | No | $202 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$46 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $190 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $178 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $181 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$4 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $148 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$11 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | No | $119 | 48¢ | 64¢ | +$39 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $136 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$18 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $134 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$15 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $137 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $124 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$21 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 66¢ | 86¢ | +$29 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $107 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $94 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $90 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $90 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $82 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $75 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $71 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
 Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?Politics | No | $73 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $34 | 38¢ | 69¢ | +$28 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $36 | 55¢ | 77¢ | +$14 |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $41 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
| Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?Politics | No | $25 | 50¢ | 91¢ | +$21 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 48¢ | 69¢ | +$13 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | Yes | $29 | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$8 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 38¢ | 68¢ | +$9 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | No | $18 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 25¢ | 49¢ | +$9 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 44¢ | 59¢ | +$4 |
 Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?Politics | No | $16 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?Politics | No | $10 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 12¢ | 8.3¢ | -$4 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 38¢ | 41¢ | +$0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 10¢ | -$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 49¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
| Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by October 31?Politics | No | $4 | 7.0¢ | 2.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $254 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$254 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $62 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | NoResolved | $18 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $33 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $41 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $56 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Starmer say "United States" during the next PMQ?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |