 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | No | $1.7K | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$71 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.1K | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$25 |
 Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Politics | Yes | $772 | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$233 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $993 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $688 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$149 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Politics | No | $472 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$74 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $526 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?Politics | Yes | $415 | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$121 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $587 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$72 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | No | $343 | 76¢ | 89¢ | +$56 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $336 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$42 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $279 | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$86 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $311 | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Politics | No | $184 | 65¢ | 98¢ | +$94 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $253 | 51¢ | 54¢ | +$15 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $233 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$20 |
 Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | Yes | $237 | 57¢ | 61¢ | +$12 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Politics | Yes | $121 | 11¢ | 21¢ | +$96 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $190 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$15 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $199 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$4 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | No | $195 | 39¢ | 39¢ | +$0 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $190 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $171 | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$11 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $168 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$14 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $155 | 52¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Politics | No | $146 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $137 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $111 | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$31 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $137 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Politics | Yes | $115 | 33¢ | 35¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $116 | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $107 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $91 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $94 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $86 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $90 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $82 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $86 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $48 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 77¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $35 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$2 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 65¢ | 82¢ | +$7 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 5.0¢ | 13¢ | +$20 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $23 | 46¢ | 65¢ | +$10 |
 Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $31 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $31 | 45¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics | Yes | $105 | 7.0¢ | 2.0¢ | -$75 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $50 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$22 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $39 | 39¢ | 21¢ | -$19 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | Yes | $29 | 27¢ | 19¢ | -$9 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 27¢ | 13¢ | -$21 |
 Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?Politics | No | $16 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?Politics | Yes | $35 | 35¢ | 16¢ | -$19 |
 Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 59¢ | 30¢ | -$15 |
| Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | No | $31 | 62¢ | 29¢ | -$17 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 41¢ | 28¢ | -$7 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 33¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
 Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?Politics | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 52¢ | +$7 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 12¢ | 6.7¢ | -$6 |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$16 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Tech | Yes | $4 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 69¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 8.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 21¢ | 0.9¢ | -$32 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 1.4¢ | +$1 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 10–15%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $254 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$254 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $62 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 15–20%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 15–20%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
 Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
MERGE Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$3251h ago