← Whale Watch

aviad102

Predicting since Mar 202680 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechNo$2009.0¢9.5¢+$10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$10041¢52¢+$26
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$10051¢50¢-$1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?EconomyYes$10068¢67¢-$1
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?TechYes$10065¢59¢-$10
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?TechYes$5052¢56¢+$4
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsNo$5071¢66¢-$4
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$205.0¢9.7¢+$19
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$5054¢33¢-$19
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?TechYes$309.0¢9.0¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$306.7¢5.1¢-$7
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$3038¢28¢-$8
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2039¢43¢+$2
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$203.4¢3.8¢+$2
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?TechYes$3030¢22¢-$9
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?TechYes$246.3¢5.7¢-$2
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2023¢12¢-$10
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$204.5¢1.1¢-$15
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$309.7¢1.1¢-$27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2022¢0.0¢-$20
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$3064¢0.0¢-$30
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2010¢0.0¢-$20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?EconomyYesResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$2058¢0.0¢-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?FinanceNoResolved$2754¢0.0¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$872
Tech-$78
Crypto-$34
Economy-$20
World Cup-$19
Weather-$10
Finance+$4
NFL+$2
Biggest hit
+$636
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$68
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?$1023h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?$514d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?$204d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?$1019d ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$32011d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$211d ago