← Whale Watch

Lvrya

Predicting since Nov 20243,141 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2856¢85¢+$14
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$655¢80¢+$3
Will Trump say "Democrat shutdown" in December?MentionsNoResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bill Ackman say "Shareholder" 3+ times during the X Space event on November 18?MentionsNoResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?MentionsNoResolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?CultureNoResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Will Keir Starmer say "Tittle Tattle" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsYesResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsYesResolved$841¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" or "Obliterating" this week? (October 27 - November 2)MentionsNoResolved$656¢0.0¢-$6
Will Uber say "Lyft" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$011¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?MentionsNoResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Book of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?CultureNoResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Day Care" or "Daycare" this week? (January 11)MentionsYesResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?MentionsNoResolved$628¢0.0¢-$6
Will "Supreme Court" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?MentionsYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Biden" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$025¢0.0¢-$0
Will Celsius say "NFL" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 27 - November 2)MentionsNoResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Will Meta say "Maverick" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$18.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsYesResolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
Will Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?CultureNoResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will EA say "Jared / Kushner" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$01.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsYesResolved$636¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during September?MentionsYesResolved$028¢0.0¢-$0
Will Nike say "Sustainable" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Skyrocket" or "Skyrocketed" in January?MentionsNoResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Landslide" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?MentionsYesResolved$737¢0.0¢-$7
Will Reddit say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsNoResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "President Xi" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?MentionsNoResolved$017¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Big beautiful bill" this week? (October 27 - November 2)MentionsNoResolved$742¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "Death penalty" this week? (September 29 - October 5)MentionsYesResolved$042¢0.0¢-$0
Will Robinhood say "Expense" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Dark cloud" this week? (October 27 - November 2)MentionsYesResolved$019¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Jeffrey Epstein" in October?MentionsYesResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Love" be said during Eurovision?MentionsNoResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Adobe say "Inference" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$733¢0.0¢-$7
Will "Jury" be said during Eurovision?MentionsNoResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Six Seven" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?eSportsNoResolved$733¢0.0¢-$7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2448¢0.0¢-$24
Will Meta say "Dividend" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will anyone say "Broncos" during South Park's prediction market episode?MentionsYesResolved$018¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Pandemic" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsYesResolved$813¢0.0¢-$8
Will Chipotle say "Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Santa Claus" in December?MentionsYesResolved$251¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bernie say "Working Class" 5+ times during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?MentionsYesResolved$1060¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "ABC Fake News" this week? (October 20-26)MentionsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2855¢0.0¢-$28
Will Vance say "Trump" 5+ times during Bangor visit?MentionsNoResolved$2040¢0.0¢-$20
Will "Trump" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?MentionsNoResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bernie say "Ackman" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?MentionsYesResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
Will "China" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?MentionsNoResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will Starbucks say "Holiday" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$02.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Chewy say "Brussels Sprout" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will "No Kit" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?eSportsNoResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Chipotle say "Transaction Growth" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Friend" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsYesResolved$840¢0.0¢-$8
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?CultureNoResolved$854¢0.0¢-$8
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will Keir Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Iran" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Real Gold" in December?MentionsNoResolved$945¢0.0¢-$9
Will Hims say "Lab Testing" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will EA say "The Sims" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Uber say "Driver Incentives" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$571¢0.0¢-$5
Will Chewy say "Insurance" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will Powell say "Dissenter" during December press conference?MentionsYesResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
Will Taylor Swift say "Superbowl" on The Late Show on December 10?MentionsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? (November 17 – 23)MentionsNoResolved$424¢0.0¢-$4
Will Keir Starmer say "Emergency" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsNoResolved$460¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$1522¢0.0¢-$15
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?TechNoResolved$3523¢0.0¢-$35
Will Vance say "Fraud" 3+ times during Bangor visit?MentionsNoResolved$1121¢0.0¢-$11
Will Bernie say "Fascist" or "Fascism" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?MentionsYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Will Chipotle say "Promotion" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$04.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Powell say "Meeting" 9+ times during October press conference?MentionsNoResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Drake release a surprise album?CultureNoResolved$919¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump say "See what happens" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$733¢0.0¢-$7
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Knucklehead" or "Numbskull" or "Numskull" in December?MentionsYesResolved$339¢0.0¢-$3
Will FedEx say "Inventory" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$1154¢0.0¢-$11
Will Meta say "Behemoth" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan"?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?MentionsNoResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Dancing" during Malaysia events on October 26?MentionsYesResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (October 20-26)MentionsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?TechNoResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Malaysia events on October 26?MentionsYesResolved$1368¢0.0¢-$13
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Hungary PM events on November 7?MentionsYesResolved$1363¢0.0¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Mentions-$345
Culture-$134
eSports+$56
Weather+$54
Politics-$39
Tech-$29
Crypto+$18
Golf+$16
Tennis-$10
Boxing+$5
Other+$4
MLB-$3
Biggest hit
+$53
Will Team Spirit win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?
Toughest beat
-$73
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$3025d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$201mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$501mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$02mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$12mo ago
  • Cashed out Usyk · Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$502mo ago
  • Bought Usyk · Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$292mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1002mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$442mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$122mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$102mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$242mo ago