 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 29, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Cashed out Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$644mo ago