ManuelKaal

Predicting since Oct 202522 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?Politics	YesResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?Politics	NoResolved	$1	24¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strike on Mexico by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	14¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 24–27%?Politics	YesResolved	$1	16¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3000000 and 3250000?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?Culture	YesResolved	$2	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Politics	YesResolved	$1	18¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Politics	NoResolved	$1	44¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.4% on October 10?Politics	YesResolved	$2	36¢	0.0¢	-$2
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	38¢	0.0¢	-$1

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$11

Culture-$3

Biggest hit

+$3

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Bought Yes · Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?$25mo ago
Bought Yes · Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?$25mo ago
Bought Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$15mo ago
Sold Yes · US government shutdown Saturday?$25mo ago
Bought Yes · US government shutdown Saturday?$16mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · US strike on Mexico by March 31?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$16mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$37mo ago
Bought Yes · Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?$18mo ago