Ret-von-Ard

Predicting since Apr 202689 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics	No	$7	60¢	100¢	+$4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$23	25¢	0.0¢	-$23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$1	9.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics	NoResolved	$4	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?Weather	YesResolved	$10	23¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?Finance	NoResolved	$6	12¢	0.0¢	-$6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$9	45¢	0.0¢	-$9
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$13	77¢	0.0¢	-$13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$11	10¢	0.0¢	-$11
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	32¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Finance	YesResolved	$6	45¢	0.0¢	-$6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$31	11¢	0.0¢	-$31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5	16¢	0.0¢	-$5
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?World Cup	NoResolved	$1	85¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Finance	NoResolved	$24	20¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$5	69¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 26?Weather	YesResolved	$2	36¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Finance	YesResolved	$11	78¢	0.0¢	-$11

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$98

Finance-$98

World Cup-$9

Weather-$8

Biggest hit

+$54

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Toughest beat

-$43

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$206d ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$121d ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1321d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 26?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 26?$11mo ago
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?$01mo ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?$101mo ago
Sold No · Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq?$241mo ago
Bought No · Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq?$231mo ago
Sold No · Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Austria?$101mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$91mo ago
Sold Under · Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$21mo ago