← Whale Watch

Folletin

Predicting since Jul 2024704 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $67K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $20K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

Biggest hit: +$9.4K on Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$20K79¢82¢+$810
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$11K85¢99¢+$1.8K
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$6.7K52¢81¢+$3.7K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.1K90¢99¢+$496
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$4.8K76¢77¢+$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.8K73¢73¢-$47
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$3.4K55¢56¢+$43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$2.4K36¢42¢+$379
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.8K83¢98¢+$321
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K60¢92¢+$739
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.7K78¢58¢-$703
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$1.4K61¢81¢+$457
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$1.7K61¢56¢-$118
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K83¢95¢+$192
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?PoliticsNo$62649¢89¢+$520
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$69242¢60¢+$302
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.2K60¢42¢-$376
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2167.0¢27¢+$609
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$85660¢56¢-$44
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$59562¢60¢-$24
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$42877¢83¢+$36
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4105.4¢5.1¢-$26
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$41616¢14¢-$39
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsNo$19753¢90¢+$138
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3546.4¢5.1¢-$71
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$13412¢24¢+$126
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsYes$43043¢21¢-$225
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3093.8¢1.6¢-$184
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$183.0¢16¢+$75
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherNo$6849¢59¢+$14
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$2125¢53¢+$24
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?TechYes$17822¢2.9¢-$155
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$451.4¢0.5¢-$28
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$661.7¢0.4¢-$49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1568¢47¢-$5
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechNo$560¢70¢+$1
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1.9K92¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Spread: Spain (-1.5)World CupSpainResolved$5628¢0.0¢-$56
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?World CupYesResolved$4515¢0.0¢-$45
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$14511¢0.0¢-$145
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$41270¢0.0¢-$412
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10311¢0.0¢-$103
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?PoliticsYesResolved$303.5¢0.0¢-$30
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?La LigaYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?PoliticsYesResolved$33554¢0.0¢-$335
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?PoliticsYesResolved$1253¢0.0¢-$12
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?PoliticsLeadership ChangeResolved$8930¢0.0¢-$89
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2437¢0.0¢-$24
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$76669¢0.0¢-$766
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K79¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$979¢0.0¢-$9
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?World CupYesResolved$239.0¢0.0¢-$23
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3315¢0.0¢-$33
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1002.8¢0.0¢-$100
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?World CupYesResolved$356.0¢0.0¢-$35
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?World CupYesResolved$153.5¢0.0¢-$15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$36816¢0.0¢-$368
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?PoliticsYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$358.0¢0.0¢-$35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$23441¢0.0¢-$234
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5639¢0.0¢-$56
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$4010¢0.0¢-$40
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupBosnia and HerzegovinaResolved$7517¢0.0¢-$75
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsNoResolved$20161¢0.0¢-$201
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$1738.5¢0.0¢-$173
Nothing Ever Happens: AugustPoliticsYesResolved$862¢0.0¢-$8
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?PoliticsNoResolved$6774¢0.0¢-$67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3.6K80¢0.0¢-$3.6K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$67K
Tech+$11K
Premier League-$2.0K
Crypto+$1.9K
Soccer (other)+$1.9K
Finance+$1.3K
Other sports+$1.3K
Mentions-$999
Hockey (other)-$929
Economy+$440
Tennis+$241
NHL-$173
Biggest hit
+$9.4K
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Toughest beat
-$14K
US military action against Iran by Monday?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$721h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$62d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$72d ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.4K3d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7613d ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$7454d ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$514d ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$104d ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$14d ago