Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20K | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$810 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $11K | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$1.8K |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6.7K | 52¢ | 81¢ | +$3.7K |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $5.1K | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$496 |
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $4.8K | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $3.8K | 73¢ | 73¢ | -$47 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3.4K | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$43 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $2.4K | 36¢ | 42¢ | +$379 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $1.8K | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$321 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 60¢ | 92¢ | +$739 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 78¢ | 58¢ | -$703 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $1.4K | 61¢ | 81¢ | +$457 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $1.7K | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$118 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$192 |
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | No | $626 | 49¢ | 89¢ | +$520 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | No | $692 | 42¢ | 60¢ | +$302 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 60¢ | 42¢ | -$376 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $216 | 7.0¢ | 27¢ | +$609 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $856 | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$44 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $595 | 62¢ | 60¢ | -$24 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $428 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$36 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $410 | 5.4¢ | 5.1¢ | -$26 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $416 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$39 |
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $197 | 53¢ | 90¢ | +$138 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $354 | 6.4¢ | 5.1¢ | -$71 |
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $134 | 12¢ | 24¢ | +$126 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $430 | 43¢ | 21¢ | -$225 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $309 | 3.8¢ | 1.6¢ | -$184 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $18 | 3.0¢ | 16¢ | +$75 |
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other | No | $68 | 49¢ | 59¢ | +$14 |
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 25¢ | 53¢ | +$24 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $178 | 22¢ | 2.9¢ | -$155 |
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $45 | 1.4¢ | 0.5¢ | -$28 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $66 | 1.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$49 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $15 | 68¢ | 47¢ | -$5 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 60¢ | 70¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $1.9K | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
Spread: Spain (-1.5)World Cup | SpainResolved | $56 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?World Cup | YesResolved | $45 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $145 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?World Cup | YesResolved | $412 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$412 |
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $103 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?La Liga | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Politics | YesResolved | $335 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$335 |
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Politics | Leadership ChangeResolved | $89 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $766 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$766 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $1.2K | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $23 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $35 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $368 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$368 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $234 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$234 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $40 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | Bosnia and HerzegovinaResolved | $75 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics | NoResolved | $201 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$201 |
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $173 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$173 |
Nothing Ever Happens: AugustPolitics | YesResolved | $8 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Politics | NoResolved | $67 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3.6K | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.6K |