Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $50 | 18¢ | 7.8¢ | -$28 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 18¢ | 2.5¢ | -$9 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 6.5¢ | -$9 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Maduro out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |