Mattia.Ilenotti

Predicting since Oct 2024785 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $724 riding on 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather	No	$724	95¢	99¢	+$33
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	No	$554	82¢	98¢	+$113
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$465	84¢	97¢	+$72
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather	No	$461	88¢	97¢	+$45
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Politics	No	$388	89¢	93¢	+$15
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	No	$207	59¢	42¢	-$60
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics	No	$86	86¢	100¢	+$14
Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsTennis	Yes	$62	97¢	96¢	-$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$36	71¢	86¢	+$7
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather	No	$29	63¢	76¢	+$6
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics	No	$26	84¢	91¢	+$2
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other)	No	$13	67¢	87¢	+$4
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$15	66¢	69¢	+$1
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Crypto	No	$5	46¢	73¢	+$3
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1	Yes	$1	8.6¢	93¢	+$6
EU dissolves before 2027?Politics	No	$6	96¢	99¢	+$0
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather	No	$4	72¢	100¢	+$2
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics	No	$5	89¢	97¢	+$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$13	28¢	5.3¢	-$10
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$2	28¢	21¢	-$1
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Champions League	YesResolved	$5	23¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$10	59¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Formula 1	NoResolved	$10	61¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-06?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$10	43¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$964

Formula 1+$460

Tech-$328

Culture+$277

Finance-$121

Soccer (other)-$101

Weather+$82

Other sports+$82

World Cup+$71

Champions League-$43

Serie A+$32

Tennis-$7

Biggest hit

+$392

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Toughest beat

-$505

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?$10017h ago
Bought Yes · Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13?$1010d ago
Bought No · Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?$1110d ago
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$40014d ago
Bought Yes · Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?$514d ago
Cashed out No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?$1516d ago
Bought Yes · Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-06?$1016d ago
Bought No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?$1217d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?$017d ago
Cashed out No · Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?$1017d ago
Bought Yes · Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?$118d ago
Bought No · Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?$918d ago