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Mattia.Ilenotti

Predicting since Oct 2024762 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $724 riding on 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$72495¢98¢+$27
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$55482¢96¢+$98
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$46584¢95¢+$60
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?PoliticsNo$47789¢90¢+$5
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$32988¢92¢+$14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$15579¢100¢+$41
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$17960¢56¢-$10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$8686¢97¢+$11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3671¢80¢+$4
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2364¢100¢+$13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$4242¢31¢-$11
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?PoliticsNo$2684¢92¢+$2
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$2963¢45¢-$8
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$1680¢100¢+$4
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1566¢64¢-$0
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?WeatherYes$974¢95¢+$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$985¢100¢+$1
EU dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$696¢98¢+$0
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?CryptoNo$546¢59¢+$1
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$472¢100¢+$2
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$18.6¢75¢+$5
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$589¢95¢+$0
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?PoliticsYes$714¢8.3¢-$3
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherNo$276¢58¢-$1
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$228¢21¢-$1
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1328¢3.5¢-$11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$336¢13¢-$2
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Formula 1+$417
Culture+$220
Tech-$155
Weather+$93
Other sports+$82
Politics+$56
Serie A+$15
Champions League-$13
Crypto+$2
Tennis-$2
Soccer (other)+$2
Biggest hit
+$123
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
Toughest beat
-$505
Nothing Ever Happens: June

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$95h ago
  • Bought No · Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$75h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$12919h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$1921h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$722h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$522h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$41d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$31d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$41d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$11d ago
  • Bought No · Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$31d ago